Monthly Archives: November 2011

A warm and dry Thanksgiving will turn into a wet weekend.

Thursday:  Sunny with a high near 64° and a low near 35°. Friday:  Sunny with a high near 68° and a low near 42°. Saturday: Clouds increasing throughout the day.  Highs near 65° and lows near 40°. Sunday:  Rain showers … Continue reading

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Diminishing severe weather threat for Tuesday…

Looking at the 15z run of the RUC model, the severe weather threat for today seems almost non-existent.  An already rain-cooled air mass will not receive any extra convective energy from the sun as cloud cover will be extensive throughout … Continue reading

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Severe weather increasingly likely to start the week…

Over the last few days, operational models have been trending more and more towards solutions that show severe weather striking the area on Tuesday.  The Storm Prediction Center has now changed its forecasted “slight risk” area for Tuesday from an … Continue reading

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Rainfall

Monday evening began a pattern of continual precipitation throughout the Mid-South, and the rainfall amounts for the past 24 hours have been rather impressive in the Mid-South, with the bulk of the precipitation having fallen from thunderstorms at around 2am. … Continue reading

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Severe Weather Update

The severe weather threat has diminished dramatically.  The lack of instability from diurnal heating has clearly taken its toll on the squall line, and the decay is quite evident in a recent radar image.  What can be expected from this … Continue reading

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Update

Some breaks in the cloud cover have been occurring, which was expected based on earlier runs of the RUC showing a patch of drier air at 700mb moving through the area.  However, the limited amount of sunlight that has been … Continue reading

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Strong Storms Possible

With a decent ridge in place over the Southeastern CONUS and a deep positively-tilted long wave trough axis over the Western CONUS, today looks very mild once again.  Ridging over the Southeastern CONUS similar to what is in place currently … Continue reading

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Showers/T’storms to affect middle of week

Currently the Mid-South is sitting on the ascending side of a ridge axis located over New England with a deep positively tilted trough digging over Arizona.  The trough will continue to dig eastward into the southern plains today with a … Continue reading

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Beautiful fall weekend and some weather links

A broad upper level ridge will dominate the pattern over the eastern half of the U.S. for the next several days, leading to picture perfect fall weather over the weekend for the mid-South. Highs in the middle to upper 60s … Continue reading

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Showers and cooler temperatures tomorrow

After a beautiful start to the week, the weather will turn dreary tomorrow. An upper-level disturbance and associated surface low will progress through the region, bringing widespread rainfall and holding high temperatures in the mid 50s. A few embedded thunderstorms … Continue reading

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