Monthly Archives: December 2011

Colder start to 2012

  Happy New year to all! 1. I want to touch up mainly on the impacts of Sunday’s front plus a look a quick shot of winter for the region early next week. 2. Back to the last forecast feel … Continue reading

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Forecast for rest of week

To recap Tuesday: – the low cut further northwest but just slightly this allowed a wedge of WAA for a few hours to be located farther west over BG thus the temeprature rose to 46 instead of the low 40’s. … Continue reading

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WIll rain change to snow Tuesday?

Here is a forecast overview Highlights – rainy morning perhaps ending as snow around lunchtime – no hazards expected from snow chance – high pressure and sunny skies return Wednesday Forecast: A storm system which has been slowly moving across … Continue reading

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Short term: Mr.Grinch controls the holiday weather

We’re continuing with a lack of cold air over the next several days. It now looks like some energy will move across the south but to progressive for a major system Christmas day. I think the ECMWF keeps to much … Continue reading

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Long term: update on ECMWF weekly model and stratospheric warming effects

Thoughts on the control run of the euro monthly run forecast – Most of cold stays locked up in Canada through Jan 15th – Pacific flow across United states with ridge building over southern plains and east – Pattern of … Continue reading

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Forecast update

– A correction on the isentropic analysis for tomorrow’s rain mixing ratios of 3-5 g/kg should yield rainfall of half an inch to perhaps an inch in a few spots southeast. – Looks like the system this weekend will actually be closer … Continue reading

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White Christmas hopes still alive?

Current conditions. We have a closed upper level low moving through the region with a weak frontal boundary. Ahead of it we’re seeing a strong advection of moisture warmth and even some slight instability. The enviroment is highly sheared now and … Continue reading

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Short term: more of the same pattern and a look @ white Christmas chances

1.  Sunday We will see a trough moving to the east as heights rise and ridging builds in. Once again a sign of more southerly flow, high pressure and a return to warmer than normal temperatures in the next few … Continue reading

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Long term: Pattern change due to stratospheric warming may be coming in Jan

Over the past few months since the 1st of November we have been in a very unfavorable pattern for sustained wintry weather. Concerns over the – PNA in my winter outlook lead to a revised outlook for cold in the Rockies/west with warmth … Continue reading

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Upcoming weekend looks pleasant

Highlights For This Weekend Highs in the upper 30’s Lows in the lower 20’s The weather pattern currently in place looks to hang around for at least the short term.  While a weak cold front will push through the area … Continue reading

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