Everyone enjoy the warmth this afternoon, because it is all about to change. The front will pass through overnight tonight and with that it is going to bring the chance of severe weather and colder temperatures after the front. The CAPE is slightly higher than previous models have shown, which hints to us more instability in the atmosphere.
With the amount of CAPE, it is possible to see some small hail and isolated tornadoes. Along with these threats, we may see strong winds move through Bowling Green tonight ahead of the storm and with the storm. The moisture axis is right through Bowling Green and surrounding areas. This adds to the instability of the atmosphere.
The strongest winds are also near South Central Kentucky. We could see wind damage as we wake up tomorrow morning. Downed trees and power lines will most likely be the main threat.
We are going to see periods of heavy showers and rumbles of thunder tonight. Here is the radar for overnight tonight. The cold front will bring heavy rain and thunderstorms between 2am and 4am. This makes it more of a hazardous situation because it is coming overnight. 1-2 inches of rain is expected through the storm.
The model below is showing a high vorticity value in the top left box and the front just to the west of Bowling Green in the top right box. This is indicator of strong storms tonight. This is showing the change in wind speed with height and is showing upper-level divergence in the atmosphere, which is why there is a possibility of isolated tornadoes and a supercell thunderstorm.
As the front passes and we go through the day on Wednesday, temperatures are going to decrease. We should see our highest temperature in the morning on Wednesday, and we will cool off as the day goes on. The colder temperatures will come behind the cold front. Then we are back to seasonal temperatures for the remainder of the week.
Today: We will remain cloudy for the day and temperatures will near 70. Our record is 74 degrees and was made in 1975.
Tonight: Make sure you stick to your television or radio for the up to date weather information. The strong line of storms has the possibility of bringing small hail, strong winds, and isolated tornadoes across South Central Kentucky.
Tomorrow: We will see cooling temperatures as we go through the day tomorrow. Clouds will move out leaving us with partly cloudy skies in the afternoon. We will see more seasonable temperatures before tomorrow is over.
