Rain, snow, and record lows

Currently Bowling Green is 39 degrees and drizzly. An upper-level trough is positioned over the central U.S. and the corresponding cold front an surface low is pushing through the east overnight into tomorrow morning. The cold front should pass through Bowling Green in the next few hours. A surface low  to our south is pumping Gulf moisture into Kentucky and surrounding states, which explains all the precipitation we have been seeing. The NWS Surface Analysis at 21Z is shown below.

usfntsfcwbg

The big question with this precipitation is what it will be once it hits the ground. Northern Kentucky is already seeing frozen precip and is at risk for 2-3 inches of accumulating snow. Bowling Green, however, will remain too warm for any snow until early Monday morning when most of the rain has moved out of the area. We are expected to see some accumulating snow, but likely no more than an inch. Timing is key with this system and Bowling Green could see more or less than an inch depending on the arrival of the cold front and the remaining precipitation. The latest NWS snowfall predictions are shown below.

snow

Temperatures will start to cool rapidly once this cold front passes and high pressure will start to move into the region tomorrow. We could see some record low temperatures tomorrow night and wind chills will make the air temperature feel like it is in the single digits in some areas. The NAM 2m temperature map for 6:00 am Tuesday morning shows extremely cold temperatures affecting a good portion of the U.S.

namUS_sfc_temp_042

Make sure you are prepared for the coming cold weather. As for the rest of the week, temperatures will remain in the mid 30s – 40s with another possibility for snow toward the end of the week. Check back with us for more information about this on Wednesday!

Bowling Green’s 5 Day Forecast (NWS):

  • Tonight: Rain and snow, possibly mixed with sleet before 2am, then snow, possibly mixed with rain between 2am and 4am, then snow after 4am. Low around 31. North wind 3 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total nighttime snow and sleet accumulation of around 2 inches.
  • Monday: Snow likely, mainly before 9am. Cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with a temperature falling to around 24 by 5pm. West wind 8 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of around an inch possible.
  • Monday Night: A 20 percent chance of snow before 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 13. Wind chill values as low as 2. West wind 11 to 14 mph.
  • Tuesday: A chance of flurries. Partly sunny and cold, with a high near 24. Wind chill values as low as -1. West wind 11 to 14 mph.
  • Tuesday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 14. South wind around 9 mph.
  • Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 41.
  • Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 25.
  • Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 36.
  • Thursday Night: A 30 percent chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 22.
  • Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 36.
  • Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 22.

 

 

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