As we start another week and head into the Thanksgiving holiday, conditions across the area are expected to be unseasonably warmer. A fast zonal upper air flow continues across much of the eastern United States as the northern branch of the jet is located along the U.S./Canadian border, helping keep the cooler air to our north. A weak 500 mb ridge will temporarily develop over the region today, followed by a weak trough that will slide through the Commonwealth by Monday.
HPC/NOAA short range forecast valid for Tuesday 12Z. Ridge of high pressure will build over the Tennessee Valley region as the weak trough to our west tracks eastward through the area by Monday night/early Tuesday morning.
As the low tracks through late Monday night, a slight chance for an isolated shower will exist although the main threat seems to be cloud cover. Neither feature will have much effect on the the overall temperatures as a gradual warm up is expected through the Thanksgiving holiday. The HPC’s QPF maps below seems to show agreement as any rainfall that does occur will be light and mainly to the north of the state.
HPC’s QPF precipitation forecast map valid for Tuesday 12Z. Showing areas of light precip. just to the north of the state in parts of southern Illinois and Indiana.
Highs for your Sunday will begin a nice stretch of comfortable fall time weather. Temperatures are expected to reach the low to mid 60’s here in Bowling Green under mostly sunny skies, as identical days look to follow. Skies will remain clear for your Sunday evening as temperatures drop to around 36 degrees with calm winds expected.
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Monday: Expect mostly sunny skies. High: 64.
Monday night: Expect increasing clouds with light and variable winds from the west. Low: 43
Tuesday: Another nice day with partly sunny conditions. High:65 Light winds from the southwest around 5mph.
Tuesday night: Partly to mostly cloudy skies expected. Low: 41
Forecaster: Chris Johnson