Monthly Archives: January 2010

dry slot takes away second band and higher end totals

Storm totals were from 5-7 inches across our region. This was slightly less than my going forecast of about 8 inches with the potential for locally more perhaps even over a foot. This was due to a dry slot which … Continue reading

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updated forecast

snow ratios- using the avg mesonet qpf of .15 and snowfall reports of 2-3 inches earlier and looking at the composition of the snow a 15:1 ratio seems reasonable with temps in the 20’s. banding- snow had become banded in … Continue reading

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snowstorm in progress now

– WKU has cancelled classes through Saturday due to weather. Right now light snow has spread into south central Kentucky. Moderate snowfall with bursts of hvy snow is moving across western Tennessee into our region and should arrive around 5 … Continue reading

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snowfall to start around 2 pm

Temperatures now are in the mid 20’s across the region which means when the  snow starts it will stick to most everything. If you’re looking at the radar puzzled this morning it’s because of virga, precipitation that shows up on … Continue reading

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snowstorm to be delayed slightly

Don’t worry it’s still coming.  For those of you wanting to leave school or even WKU early for the snow will be disappointed as all of the model data now does not start the snow till mid or late afternoon, however the … Continue reading

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Risk for 8-12″ of snow increasing; where is the question

Recent model trends of both the GFS (6z and 12z) and NAM 12z suggest that a band of 8-12″ of snow is increasingly likely for some portion of the Mid-South Friday into Saturday.

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Winter Storm Update: Models Diverging not Converging

qpf= amount of water that will fall I have looked at the US 00z models which come in during the evening so this analysis includes the 00z Nam and gfs, Wednesday’s 12z Canadian, euro and several other overseas and less … Continue reading

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Winter Storm Watch Issued

The NWS has issued a winter storm watch for the region. Periods of snow are likely from Friday morning into early Saturday with still a large spread in model data. Right now it appears between 3 and 7 inches will … Continue reading

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winter storm threat late week

a quick post to start the spring term. Right now the modeling suggests a winter storm will impact the region starting Thursday night and lasting into Saturday. An arctic front will move through the region Thursday with low pressure tracking … Continue reading

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forecast for the next week

I will be unable to post updates from wed-mon so i have posted a seven day forecast.  The one change in forecasting strategy I have made is to go a few degrees higher than the raw gfs which was to cool … Continue reading

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