Rain today, rain tomorrow will be the general theme of this weekend. This is due to several disturbances passing through our area between now and Monday when a strong cold front will finally pass through. Until that time we’ll have a cold front approaching from the northwest will which begin to stall out near the Ohio River Valley. Because the front will begin to stall to our north we’ll see continued rain chances along with warm temperatures.
A cold front near the Ohio River Valley will be the focus of scattered areas of rainfall the next couple of days. Surface forecast from the HPC for Saturday.
Today and Saturday by no means look to be wash outs. For today, the majority of the rain will be focused north of south-central Kentucky near the Ohio River which is closer to the front but at least a few scattered showers are likely in our area. On Saturday rain seems more likely in our area as a band of rainfall should set-up in south-central Kentucky along the front which will slowly drift closer to our area and even pass through during the evening hours. Rain chances will be highest into the afternoon but this rainfall shouldn’t be terribly heavy with generally less than a quarter of an inch of rainfall possible.
Total rainfall forecast from the HPC through Wednesday morning. Rainfall totals in Kentucky/Tennessee are expected to be between 1.50-2.00 inches of rainfall.
By the time we move into Sunday another cold front will be approaching from the west ahead of a deep trough in the upper-levels which will be moving east. As this system approaches the front which had stalled near our area will begin to lift back the north as a warm front. This should enhance rainfall chances with the front near our area especially Sunday morning as the front pushes back through our area. Sunday should be a warm day as we once again challenge record highs in Bowling Green. Highs should be near 70 and could reach the record high of 71 set in 1952. The warm weather will break into early next week however as the aforementioned strong cold front pushes through bringing much colder temperatures to our area. Furthermore as the cold front moves through Sunday night/Monday morning rain will be likely. Rainfall is expected to fall steadily for several hours and thus the area could pick up as much as an inch of rainfall by midday Monday. Some of the models disagree with the timing of when the rainfall will move out Monday and thus this will be monitored to see how forecast models can come into agreement. Meanwhile temperatures will fall throughout the day on Monday with temperatures expected to be in the 30s by the afternoon.
Daily Forecast:
Today: High: 66 Cloudy with a 70% of a few scattered showers through the day with around a tenth of an inch of rainfall possible. Winds from the south-southwest from 10-15 mph.
Saturday: Low: 58 High: 67 Cloudy skies with and an 80% chance of showers especially in the afternoon. Rainfall should be less than a quarter of an inch. Winds from the southwest switching to the northeast late at 5-10 mph.
Sunday: Low: 54 High: 71 Cloudy skies with an 80% chance of rainfall especially before noon. Rainfall around a quarter of an inch. Winds out the south-southwest from 10-15 mph. More rainfall moving in overnight Sunday night; overnight/Monday morning rainfall totals could approach one inch.