Days at a Glance:
Today: High of 80. Partly cloudy skies. North winds at 11-12 mph.
Monday: A chilly start to the day with a low of 48. High of 74. Mostly sunny skies. Northeast winds at 6-10 mph.
Tuesday: Start the day with a low of 55. High of 75. Clouds increasing to overcast into the afternoon and evening. A 80% chance of light to moderate rain showers possible into the evening and overnight hours. Accumulations will be under .05 of an inch area-wide with locally higher amounts possible. South winds at 11-12 mph.
Wednesday: High of 62 in the mid-morning before the cold frontal passage. 80% chance of light to moderate rain showers in the early morning before tapering off by noon. Total accumulations including Tuesday should remain below .25 of an inch with locally higher amounts possible. Winds will shift from 11-15 mph from the south to 11-15 mph from the northwest before noon. Clouds will begin to clear into the late afternoon and evening.
Thursday: Another chilly start with a low of 41. High of 60 with mostly clear skies. NW winds becoming W into the day at 5-6 mph.
Discussion:
After a week of very beautiful and benign weather, the possibility for rain will once again return to the area. A weakening and dry cold front has passed our area this morning and dry air will filter into the area throughout the day. Therefore, will have two more pleasant days in the mid 70’s before clouds begin to increase throughout the day Tuesday in association with an approaching cold front. Light to moderate rain showers will accompany this into the evening and overnight hours. Locally heavy showers are possible with a few rumbles of thunder, but nothing severe is anticipated due to the lack of instability and the timing of the frontal passage. The cold front is projected to pass our area during the early to mid-morning hours on Wednesday. With this said, precipitation will quickly slack off before noon and clouds will begin to clear throughout the day.
NAM 12Z (7am CDT) Wednesday morning Mixing Ratio and 10m wind vectors representing atmospheric moisture and its transport or advection. Notice the drastic wind shift over our area denoting the cold front with much drier air projected to filter in throughout the day Wednesday.
With the drier and cooler air in place, a beautiful Thursday should be in store with temperatures barely cresting 60 degrees under sunny skies. A jacket is advised with morning temperatures starting in the lower 40’s.