Today low pressure is moving northeast into the northeast which is still providing for some cloud cover today with fair skies overall and a nw flow with highs in the lower 70’s. Tomorrow skies should be mostly sunny with the nw flow keeping highs in the low to mid 70’s. Heading out later this week we have model disagreement on the track of Nicole. One camp we have the Canadian/ nam which brings the track up the Appalachian mountains and phases the system with a deeping trough. The other option is for the tropical system to move up the east coast and not phase till it reaches canada. the first track would bring mostly cloudy condtions Thursday and Friday with the rain bands moving through a good portion of KY and highs in the 60’s. The second option would bring what most forecasts indicate sunny skies and 70’s.
Thursday night 06z nam
Thursday night 06z gfs
12z nam has 5-6 inches of rain for east ky with little back to bwg. gfs much farther east implying lighter rains for the east. model trend so far today is west.