WKU Meteorology

Today is shaping up to be quite nice across the region. We are seeing sunny skies and temperatures in the mid 70’s. But the end of the week gets a little more wild.

Thursday

Some rain moves across the area early in the morning, but once that clears out we may see some breaks in the clouds. We will warm into the mid 70’s once again, but the amount of sunshine we see tomorrow may mean the difference between mid 70’s and closer to 80 degrees. The warmer we get, the more instability we will have across the area. Regardless, the strongest storms will remain to our north and east. Some folks may see some gusty winds and small hail with the storms that move across the region tomorrow during the early to mid evening hours. The SPC keeps the slight risk for severe weather just to our north and east.

Friday

There is a possibility for more storms come Friday. These storms will be a bit stronger than Thursday’s storms, but gusty winds and small hail will be the main threats. You can never rule out an isolated tornado with severe storms, but the tornado threat looks low. Many folks across the region won’t see a severe warned storm, but the possibility is there. The SPC puts Bowling Green in a slight risk for severe storms Friday.

Heavy rain will be possible over the next 5 days with localized flooding possible, especially to our north. The Weather Prediction Center shows up to 5 inches of rain could fall along the Ohio River through the weekend.

SPC Day 2 Outlook

5 Day Outlook

Today: High 59, Low 45

Today is going to be quite a bit warmer than yesterday! The sun will be out for a good portion of the day and temperatures will warm to near 60 degrees. An upper level trough will work its way into the region by late this evening, bringing more cloud cover to the area by late afternoon. Rain showers will move across the region around midnight.

NAM Simulated Reflectivity 12 am

Monday: High 62, Low 38

Early morning clouds will clear out quickly as high pressure slides back into the region, bringing an even prettier day to the area. Temperatures will climb into the low 60’s with sunny skies once again. High pressure can be a great thing this time of year!

NWS Surface Map Monday Morning

Tuesday: High 74, Low 46

Tuesday will be even warmer with sunny skies again. It’s been a long time since we have seen a stretch of nice days like this.

clipartpanda.com

5 Day Outlook

Currently in Bowling Green it is a beautiful 77 degrees with a SW wind at 8 mph. The past few days have been beautiful and springlike, but a rapid cool down is on its way and will continue through the weekend before temperatures warm back up next week. A cold front will be moving through the region bringing thunderstorms and rain tonight and tomorrow. A severe thunderstorm cannot be ruled out during the overnight hours tonight. Thursdays temperatures are going to rapidly drop, as we will see the days high temperature early in the morning. Rain is also on table for Thursday afternoon.  If you are planning to go outside tomorrow, pack an umbrella and a jacket because it will be cold and wet. The rain will push out Thursday night and low temperatures in the mid to upper twenties will consume the region for the next few days. The weekend looks to be cold as well, with temperatures in the mid to upper 40s, but we will be seeing a warm up on Sunday through early next week.

Surface currents courtesy of NOAA

5 Day Outlook:

Bowling Green is currently 47 degrees with winds out of the northeast. SPC radar shows scattered rain showers throughout much of the state. These showers will soon exit the region and be replaced with a high pressure system. Winds will shift and become more southerly later in the weekend, bringing warmer temperatures just in time for any outdoor activities on Saturday.

Tomorrow is officially the first day of Spring and hopefully the end of winter weather. The last few days have been a little chillier compared to last weekend where we saw 70 degree temperatures and sunshine. This weekend looks to be almost as nice with temperatures warming once again and the sun making an appearance on Saturday. The NAM Surface Temperatures for Saturday afternoon look to be very comfortable, with high temperatures reaching the upper 60s.

Sunday will be similar with highs in the lower 60s and partly sunny skies. Be sure to enjoy your weekend as Spring has finally arrived!

Bowling Green 5-Day Forecast:

Bowling Green is currently 62 degrees and sunny according to the Kentucky Mesonet. Temperatures are on the rise today thanks to a high pressure system positioned to our south. The NAM Surface Temperatures for mid-afternoon today show 70 degree weather filtering all the way into the Great Lakes region, with parts of the Midwest reaching 80!

A cold front will move through the area Tuesday morning, as seen in the NWS Surface Analysis below. Skies will be overcast for the majority of the day Tuesday and some areas could see scattered rain showers.

Temperatures will begin cooling throughout the week and high temperatures are expected to be in the mid 50s for Wednesday and Thursday. Current model runs suggest another chance of rain on Thursday. As a high pressure system moves in during the later part of the week, we should see temperatures start to rise back into the 60s for the weekend.

Enjoy this beautiful weather and have a great week!

Bowling Green’s 5-Day Forecast:

Saturday

Rain showers will stick around for much of the day Saturday into the evening hours. The WPC shows another inch of rain will be possible early Saturday morning through the afternoon.

WPC Day 1 Precipitation Outlook

It won’t be an all day rain like several days this week, but make sure to pack an umbrella!

Sunday

High pressure builds into the region Sunday. This will help the morning clouds to clear and the sun to dominate all afternoon. High temperatures will reach the upper 60’s! Break out those backyard barbecues.

NWS Surface Map Sunday

Monday

Monday will be warm once again. Thanks to the high pressure, temperatures will warm into the low 70’s with mostly sunny skies.

gifsec.com

Weekly Outlook

Today

After a long run of cold and snowy weather, the warmth has returned! Many areas across the region are in the low 60’s. Get out and enjoy the weather today because tomorrow we will see a wet pattern settle into the region.

Monday

Temperatures will still be rather warm Monday afternoon, but clouds will overtake the region out ahead of a rain maker moving in from the south west. This week will be predominantly rainy. However temperatures will be warm, keeping conditions from being completely awful.

The 7 day rainfall outlook shows much of the region could see over 3 inches by next weekend. Grab your rain jacket.

WPC 7 Day Rainfall Outlook

Remainder of the week:

With the exception of Wednesday, every day will be quite rainy! If you are planning any outdoor activities this week, save them for Wednesday! High temperatures will climb into the low 60’s once again with partly sunny skies.

5 Day Outlook:

Monday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 56. South wind 3 to 5 mph.

Monday Night: Rain, mainly after 10pm. Low around 45. Southeast wind 3 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Tuesday: Rain. High near 55. Light east wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.

Tuesday Night: A 40 percent chance of rain. Cloudy, with a low around 47. North wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 61.

Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46.

Thursday: Rain likely. Cloudy, with a high near 58. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Thursday Night: Rain likely. Cloudy, with a low around 52. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Friday: Rain likely. Cloudy, with a high near 61. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Friday Night: A 30 percent chance of rain. Cloudy, with a low around 49.

A Winter Storm Warning was issued for Warren county, KY and will be in effect from noon on Wednesday until Noon on Thursday. 

Currently in Bowling Green it is 61 degrees with winds from the southwest at 7 mph. A cold front is slowly approaching the region, which will cause temperatures to gradually decrease throughout the early morning hours into tomorrow afternoon. Rain is expected during the day tomorrow, and local flooding may occur as the NWS has issued a Flood Warning for tomorrow afternoon. Once the temperatures reach the freezing level, precipitation will gradually switch over from rain to snow. Sleet accumulations as well as freezing rain accumulations of .25 inches can be expected before the precipitation completely changes over to snow tomorrow evening into the overnight hours.

Above is the latest Weather forecast Graphic from NWS Louisville. Since the Bowling Green area is farther south, the switch over to frozen precipitation will be later than the rest of the state. Current snow totals displayed  on the map are not final due to the fact that there still is some forecast uncertainty regarding how much snow will accumulate. Stay tuned to the blog for a forecast update tomorrow afternoon for more accurate snowfall totals.

After this system pushes eastward, we will see a dramatic fall in temperatures due to colder air entering the region. Subzero temperatures are possible in some portions of the region, and record lows for March are possible through the end of this week.

Wednesday: Rain in the early hours changing over to a wintry mix in the early afternoon. High of 48 which will be recorded in the early hours of Wednesday morning, Temperatures will gradually drop the day. Chance of Precipitation is 100%.

Wednesday Night: Snow, which could be locally heavy at times. Low Around 20 degrees. Chance of Precipitation is 100%

Thursday: Chance of snow in the morning, cloudy and cold. High of 25 degrees.  Wind chill values can be seen in the single digits throughout the day. Chance of precipitation 60%.

Thursday Night: Cold and clear. Low of 6 degrees.

Friday: Sunny, high near 31 degrees.

Friday Night: Clear, Low near 15 degrees.

Saturday: Sunny, high near 40 degrees.

Saturday night: Cloudy, low near 26 degrees.

Sunday: Sunny, high near 43 degrees.

Bowling Green is currently 33 degrees according to the Kentucky Mesonet. Radar shows snow showers in northern Kentucky moving south, so we could potentially see a dusting of snow this evening.

A cold front passed through earlier today and the temperatures will continue to drop tonight and tomorrow as high pressure moves into the region.  While we remain east of the center of high pressure, we will experience colder temperatures, with lows tonight dropping below 20. This high pressure will move to the east Friday and Saturday. The NAM 2-meter surface temperature for Saturday morning shows very cold arctic air to our north as this high pressure moves eastward.

Saturday and Sunday we can expect temperatures to warm up as winds become more southerly. Models are showing a stationary front starting to develop late Saturday into Sunday which will keep skies overcast and giving us a chance for rain. The WPC Surface Analysis for Sunday shows this stationary front stretching across the country.

It will be nice to have a brief warm-up this weekend. Though it is still 5 days out, Tuesday of next week looks to be a peek at spring with highs in the 60s and a chance of thunderstorms. This could all change with new model outputs, so be sure to check back soon for another update!

Have a fantastic weekend!

Bowling Green’s 5-Day Forecast:

• Tonight: A chance of flurries, mainly before 7pm. Cloudy, then gradually becoming partly cloudy, with a low around 18. Wind chill values as low as 9. North wind 6 to 9 mph.
• Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 26. Wind chill values as low as 9. North wind around 8 mph.
• Friday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 16. Wind chill values as low as 7. Northeast wind around 7 mph.
• Saturday: Partly sunny, with a high near 39. East wind 6 to 8 mph.
• Saturday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 31.
• Sunday: A 50 percent chance of rain. Cloudy, with a high near 48.
• Sunday Night: Rain likely. Cloudy, with a low around 35. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
• Monday: A 30 percent chance of rain. Cloudy, with a high near 44.
• Monday Night: Rain likely. Cloudy, with a low around 37. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
• Tuesday: Rain likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Cloudy, with a high near 63. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Last week was quite the week for record-breaking cold and snow, as well as icing, flooding, and significant rain totals to finish up the weekend. To recap on some of the memorable events last week, Bowling Green received 9.6 inches of snow after the snow event on Monday, February 16th. The last time Bowling Green saw this much snow was March of 1968. Low temperatures broke records with -7 degrees on Thursday, February 19th and -4 degrees on Friday, February 20th. After additional accumulations of snow, sleet, freezing rain, and rain Friday through Sunday, the 2-day total for precipitation amounts for Bowling Green were around 2.5 inches, not including the already existing snow pack.

The jet streams have been in a very active pattern for the last few weeks and look to continue on this way for the foreseeable future. The 250mb winds, with North America positioned at the bottom center of the globe, show a meridional pattern over most of the northern hemisphere. As long as the jet streams remain in this pattern, we should continue to see interesting weather.

As for the weather this week, we have another upper-level trough swinging through bringing more arctic air into the region. A high pressure system will move across the Ohio Valley region during the early part of the week, meaning we should see more sunshine and calm conditions. The NAM Surface Map for Monday morning shows this high pressure system off to the west and northerly winds in our area.

Fortunately, it looks as if this week will be nothing like last week in terms of precipitation, however, we can’t seem to shake the cold. So bundle up and check back later in the week for an update on the weekend!

Bowling Green’s 5-Day Forecast

•  Tonight: Cloudy, with a low around 13. Wind chill values as low as 1. North wind 8 to 11 mph.
• Monday: Partly sunny and cold, with a high near 22. Wind chill values as low as 1. North wind 7 to 11 mph.
• Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 11. North wind 5 to 7 mph becoming calm after midnight.
• Tuesday: Partly sunny, with a high near 34. Wind chill values as low as 6. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 9 mph in the morning.
• Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 21. West wind 3 to 7 mph.
• Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 36.
• Wednesday Night: Scattered flurries. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 15.
• Thursday: A 20 percent chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 27.
• Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 7.