WKU Meteorology

The weather through the first 27 days of November has been quite variable but normal overall (Temp = -0.01; Precip. = 0.00 relative to normal). The pattern over the next two weeks should remain active with a series of storms. The first of the storms is shaping up and should begin affecting the Mid-South Saturday night. (more…)

As is often the case with winter storms, I have not paid too much attention to the likelihood of severe weather with this front. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed the Mid-South in a slight risk area for severe thunderstorms for Wednesday. (more…)

My last post introduced the idea of a cold and possibly stormy last 10 days of November. The order and timing of events speculated on in that post is becoming more clear, although uncertainties remain. (more…)

My last post at the beginning of the month discussed the possibility of mid-November cold with the caveat that “the EPO is not supportive of an extended cold air outbreak”. This turned out to be exactly true as the EPO has been strongly positive for the last few days, which teleconnects to a strong, zonal Pacific jet which in turn floods the U.S. with mild, Pacific air and frequent but weak storms. So despite a weakly negative NAO (which is often a cool signal), the Mid-South has enjoyed balmy near 70 degree weather the past couple of days despite widespread cloudiness. Things are about to change just in time for the Thanksgiving holiday! (more…)

As prefaced in my last couple of posts here and here, the first arctic air mass of the season is poised to descend on the Mid-South early next week. The models are also hinting at a possible wet weekend for the WKU homecoming game on November 10. (more…)