Days at a Glance:
Thursday: High – 84 Low – 65 Precipitation – 100% late in the period starting from 10 pm -11 pm where totals could reach .5 of an inch in total Winds – S at 20-23 mph Skies – Partly cloudy becoming cloudy after sunset
Friday: High – 52 Low – 33 Precipitation – 90% residual rain showers very early in the period just after 1 am where totals could reach .5 of an inch before ending shortly after Winds – W at 14-17 mph Skies – partly cloudy clearing out into the evening
Saturday: High – 59 Low – 30 Precipitation – 0% Winds – NW at 6 mph Skies – Sunny
Sunday: High – 66 Low – 39 Precipitation – 0% Winds – E shifting into the afternoon and evening SE at 6-7 mph Skies – Sunny
Discussion:
Throughout tomorrow, persistent southerly winds will prime our area with moisture and warm temperatures. The high temperature will once again be in the mid 80’s on a day very similar to today. The main story for this forecast period is the cold frontal passage to impact our area late Thursday night into very early Friday morning. Models are in good agreement that it will pass around 1 am Friday morning with precipitation ahead of the front beginning around 10-11 pm. Expect moderate to heavy rain in a relatively brief amount of time with totals likely to reach one half of an inch. Rainfall should quickly cease after 1 am depending on the exact timing of the frontal passage. The likelihood of severe weather will be on the decline since nighttime cooling will increase the overall stability of the atmosphere. Small to moderate hail will be the main threat, with strong winds likely as well depending on the configuration of the line as it enters our area. Regardless, it is very important that you have weather radios to awaken you in the event of severe weather.
NAM 06Z (1 am) Friday morning surface temperatures, winds, and mean sea level pressure. Notice the distinct N-S boundary traversing our area. This is the cold front.
For Friday, clouds will stick around but will clear out into the evening. Temperatures will be much cooler only reaching the lower 50’s. Cover your plants and gardens since temperatures will dip very close if not at freezing Saturday morning depending on how quickly the skies clear out and if the winds slacken enough. Saturday and Sunday are looking to be beautiful and the start of another warming trend with highs in the upper 50’s and mid 60’s respectively. A light jacket on Sunday morning will be advised since lows will dip into the upper 30’s.