Today will be the last hot and humid day before a welcomed cold front swings through the area and provides some relief. Scattered pop up showers are possible this afternoon and evening as the front draws closer. More available moisture and better lifting just to our north and west will allow for more widespread showers across western Kentucky and north toward southern Illinois. The latest HRRR and RAP models are in pretty good agreement with the placement of rain this afternoon. This is the simulated reflectivity from the HRRR model for 4pm today.
Across the Bowling Green area we will see a 20% chance for a pop up thunderstorm this afternoon and a slightly better chance for a thunderstorm this evening. Thunderstorms will be spotty in nature, but any storm that does develop may not move very fast due to slow storm motion and could produce locally heavy rain. Isolated flooding events are not out of the question with this type of setup. In general, 0.25 – 0.5 inches of rain looks like a good bet across much of the area through Saturday evening.
Saturday
Saturday doesn’t look too promising if you were wanting to head outdoors. With on and off rain showers likely most of the day, you would be better off waiting until Sunday.
Sunday
With temperatures topping out around 80 degrees and partly sunny skies, Sunday will definitely be the pick of the weekend! Any leftover rain showers from the cold front will move out during the early morning hours of Sunday, leaving clearing skies throughout the afternoon.
Weekly Outlook
Daily rain chances enter the picture again by next Tuesday and will last through the end of the week. However, another cold front will arrive Thursday, bringing with it a taste of Fall!
Today: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 89. South wind around 6 mph.
Tonight: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 4am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 71. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Saturday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly between 1pm and 4pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 86. Light and variable wind becoming northwest 5 to 7 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Saturday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 7pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. North wind 5 to 7 mph.
Sunday: Partly sunny, with a high near 81. Northeast wind 6 to 8 mph.
Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 59.
Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 82.
Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 65.
Tuesday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 85.
Tuesday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68.
Wednesday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 83.
Wednesday Night: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69.
Thursday: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 82.