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Storm wrap-up
Total snowfall accumulations at my house (6 miles east of Bowling Green) were 2.5″, with 2″ of that falling between 11 pm and 7 am this morning. Up to 4.5″ fell in western parts of Bowling Green where a nice … Continue reading
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Friday evening snow update
Radar is showing convective banding taking place. The NWS in Louisville has even reported thundersnow from one of these convective bands. This will create tight snowfall gradients that will mean places within the same county could have wildly different snowfall … Continue reading
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Models struggling with dry slot Friday morning
A convective snow band with impressive vertical velocities gave Bowling Green a quick coating of snow this morning, but precipitation has turned back into a wintry mix of rain/sleet/snow as boundary layer temperatures are still above freezing. This first batch … Continue reading
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Thursday night snow update
With all of the uncertainty between which model is right, which run, will it go east or west of the Appalachians, etc., I think it is important to step back and think about the synoptic pattern. The overall pattern idea … Continue reading
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Complex two part storm; heavy snow likely to miss Bowling Green
The synoptic evolution of the weekend storm appears somewhat similar to the Monday storm. Cyclogenesis along a cold front will occur as the northern and southern streams of the jet stream phase over the eastern United States. This will lead … Continue reading
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First significant snow for parts of Mid-South Friday?
The consensus of global forecast models develop a Nor’easter that will move up the East Coast this Friday. There will be accumulating snowfall on the NW edge of the precipitation shield somewhere over the TN valley. This means that places … Continue reading
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March to come in like a lion for Mid-South
The weather over the first 10 days of March promises to be very active over the Mid-South. The primary event will occur Monday-Wednesday of next week and will bring heavy rain, severe weather, and possibly heavy snow to the south-central … Continue reading
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Cold pattern ahead, but no major storms…til March?
In my last post I described the typical scenario for how the Mid-South can receive accumulating snowfall from an Alberta Clipper. And wouldn’t you know, the current radar shows a clipper streaming in from the NW headed directly for the … Continue reading
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Not buying the NAM for Friday storm
The NAM has been bullish on a Mid-South snow event for Friday afternoon-evening with a range of solutions from the extreme case of a 4-8″ snowstorm (Tuesday 18Z) to a rain followed by a couple of inches of snow (12Z … Continue reading
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Watching the NAM – who gets snow?
NOTE: The original forecast map from NWS Louisville has been replaced, therefore all discussion in this posting was for the original map and not the one currently posted. See the 4:00 pm update at the bottom for more details. The … Continue reading
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