Monthly Archives: March 2008

The GFS and ECMWF have very different interpretations of Easter weekend weather. While the GFS shows a couple of minor shortwaves rotating around the trough, the ECMWF has a blizzard for New England. How can two models that use the … Continue reading →

Total snowfall accumulations at my house (6 miles east of Bowling Green) were 2.5″, with 2″ of that falling between 11 pm and 7 am this morning. Up to 4.5″ fell in western parts of Bowling Green where a nice … Continue reading →

Radar is showing convective banding taking place. The NWS in Louisville has even reported thundersnow from one of these convective bands. This will create tight snowfall gradients that will mean places within the same county could have wildly different snowfall … Continue reading →

A convective snow band with impressive vertical velocities gave Bowling Green a quick coating of snow this morning, but precipitation has turned back into a wintry mix of rain/sleet/snow as boundary layer temperatures are still above freezing. This first batch … Continue reading →

With all of the uncertainty between which model is right, which run, will it go east or west of the Appalachians, etc., I think it is important to step back and think about the synoptic pattern. The overall pattern idea … Continue reading →

The synoptic evolution of the weekend storm appears somewhat similar to the Monday storm. Cyclogenesis along a cold front will occur as the northern and southern streams of the jet stream phase over the eastern United States. This will lead … Continue reading →

The consensus of global forecast models develop a Nor’easter that will move up the East Coast this Friday. There will be accumulating snowfall on the NW edge of the precipitation shield somewhere over the TN valley. This means that places … Continue reading →