Good afternoon folks!
It has been a gorgeous day for your Thursday here in south central Kentucky. Nothing but sunny skies and highs topping out around 60° thanks to an area of high pressure centered over the Ohio River Valley. Heading into tonight, that area of high pressure will move east keeping the skies mostly clear, with temperatures dropping back down into the mid-to-upper 30s. Temperatures should stay above that freezing mark for the Bowling Green area, but a few low-lying areas could see some patchy frost.
Below: NAM Fri 2018-10-19 12z 2m AGL Temperature
The gorgeous, fall-like conditions will continue heading into most of the day on Friday. Skies will start out sunny but clouds will be on the increase from west to east as the day goes on, thanks to a surface cold front associated with an upper-level trough. This cold front could spark off a few showers heading into the evening hours as deeper moisture moves into the area. High temperature for Friday will climb to around 68°.
Below: NAM Sat-2018-10-20 00z Composite Reflectivity, Type, 1000-500 mb Thickness
The rain will continue into the overnight hours on Friday before clearing out Saturday late morning thanks to high pressure building out to the west. Gradual clearing will continue throughout the afternoon hours on Saturday. Highs will not have as good as a chance to rebound due to cloud cover in the morning, but temperatures will top out around 63°.
Forecast for the next few days:
Tonight: Mostly clear skies with a low around 36° winds becoming calm during the overnight hours
Friday: Mostly clear skies before noon with increasing clouds in the afternoon, high topping out around 68°. Shower chances will increase heading into the evening hours.
Friday night: Showers are likely with a low of 50°. Rain totals around the area between a quarter and half inch.
Saturday: Cloudy skies through noon, then gradual clearing throughout the afternoon hours, with a high near 64°.
6-10 Day Outlook (Oct 24-28): Temperature & Precipitation
Temperatures for the area heading into late next week and weekend have a good chance of staying below average with a greater chance for above average precipitation during that stretch.