Category Archives: Kentucky Weather

Pattern change to cooler mid-month

The 2nd in a series of weakening cold fronts will bring about a pattern change that will end the early-season heat wave and bring about a return to cooler weather. The first front will cross the Mid-South Tuesday and will … Continue reading →

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Early season heat wave through mid-June

One small change in the value of a teleconnection is all that was needed to change our weather from cool and wet to hot and dry. This is a perfect example of why seasonal forecasting is so difficult.

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Kentucky summer outlook 2008

June is almost here and Kentucky has yet to record a 90 degree day, although southern KY could get there on Friday (although I wouldn’t hold my breath). The median date for the first 90 degree day of the year … Continue reading →

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Warm up delayed until the weekend – 90 possible Monday?

In my last post I discussed how a ridge would build across the central U.S. Thursday and Friday in response to a deepening trough over the western United States. As often happens this time of year, the downstream polar vortex … Continue reading →

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Mid-week warmup – mid 80s possible

In my last post I mentioned that there was some model disagreement regarding the 2nd half of next week. I mentioned that the GFS called for a return to cold and wet while the European model kept the cold air … Continue reading →

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Transition to cool NW flow

The phased jet streak pattern mentioned in my previous post that resulted in rain every 2-3 days will transition to a less wet but cool northwest flow over the next week.

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Shortwave generating machine

The rest of May is shaping up to be unsettled across the central United States as a perfect setup for shortwave generation in is place.

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Rainy system Friday night/Saturday morning

The prolonged negative PNA pattern that has controlled the weather across the Mid-South since mid-March (right about the time I stopped posting) has kept things quiet and dry. That will change as a bowling-ball 500 mb low will barrel across … Continue reading →

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Model disagreement for this weekend – which is right?

The GFS and ECMWF have very different interpretations of Easter weekend weather. While the GFS shows a couple of minor shortwaves rotating around the trough, the ECMWF has a blizzard for New England. How can two models that use the … Continue reading →

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Storm wrap-up

Total snowfall accumulations at my house (6 miles east of Bowling Green) were 2.5″, with 2″ of that falling between 11 pm and 7 am this morning. Up to 4.5″ fell in western parts of Bowling Green where a nice … Continue reading →

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