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Long term: Pattern change due to stratospheric warming may be coming in Jan
Over the past few months since the 1st of November we have been in a very unfavorable pattern for sustained wintry weather. Concerns over the – PNA in my winter outlook lead to a revised outlook for cold in the Rockies/west with warmth … Continue reading
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Upcoming weekend looks pleasant
Highlights For This Weekend Highs in the upper 30’s Lows in the lower 20’s The weather pattern currently in place looks to hang around for at least the short term. While a weak cold front will push through the area … Continue reading
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Break from rain around the corner
Highlights Chance of Precipitation early/mid-day Wednesday Rain chances diminishing throughout the week Temperatures returning to near normal The three day totals for the previous precipitation event has taken a toll on the waterways of Kentucky, with many counties including Warren … Continue reading
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Diminishing severe weather threat for Tuesday…
Looking at the 15z run of the RUC model, the severe weather threat for today seems almost non-existent. An already rain-cooled air mass will not receive any extra convective energy from the sun as cloud cover will be extensive throughout … Continue reading
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Rainfall
Monday evening began a pattern of continual precipitation throughout the Mid-South, and the rainfall amounts for the past 24 hours have been rather impressive in the Mid-South, with the bulk of the precipitation having fallen from thunderstorms at around 2am. … Continue reading
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Severe Weather Update
The severe weather threat has diminished dramatically. The lack of instability from diurnal heating has clearly taken its toll on the squall line, and the decay is quite evident in a recent radar image. What can be expected from this … Continue reading
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Update
Some breaks in the cloud cover have been occurring, which was expected based on earlier runs of the RUC showing a patch of drier air at 700mb moving through the area. However, the limited amount of sunlight that has been … Continue reading
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Strong Storms Possible
With a decent ridge in place over the Southeastern CONUS and a deep positively-tilted long wave trough axis over the Western CONUS, today looks very mild once again. Ridging over the Southeastern CONUS similar to what is in place currently … Continue reading
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