Rain Re-enters the Forecast

Days at a Glance:

Today: High of 80. Partly cloudy skies. North winds at 11-12 mph.

Monday: A chilly start to the day with a low of 48. High of 74. Mostly sunny skies. Northeast winds at 6-10 mph.

Tuesday: Start the day with a low of 55. High of 75. Clouds increasing to overcast into the afternoon and evening. A 80% chance of light to moderate rain showers possible into the evening and overnight hours. Accumulations will be under .05 of an inch area-wide with locally higher amounts possible. South winds at 11-12 mph.

Wednesday: High of 62 in the mid-morning before the cold frontal passage. 80% chance of light to moderate rain showers in the early morning before tapering off by noon. Total accumulations including Tuesday should remain below .25 of an inch with locally higher amounts possible. Winds will shift from 11-15 mph from the south to 11-15 mph from the northwest before noon. Clouds will begin to clear into the late afternoon and evening.

Thursday: Another chilly start with a low of 41. High of 60 with mostly clear skies. NW winds becoming W into the day at 5-6 mph.

Discussion:

After a week of very beautiful and benign weather, the possibility for rain will once again return to the area. A weakening and dry cold front has  passed our area this morning and dry air will filter into the area throughout the day. Therefore, will have two more pleasant days in the mid 70’s before clouds begin to increase throughout the day Tuesday in association with an approaching cold front. Light to moderate rain showers will accompany this into the evening and overnight hours. Locally heavy showers are possible with a few rumbles of thunder, but nothing severe is anticipated due to the lack of instability and the timing of the frontal passage. The cold front is projected to pass our area during the early to mid-morning hours on Wednesday. With this said, precipitation will quickly slack off before noon and clouds will begin to clear throughout the day.

NAM_221_2013101312_F72_MXR_2_M_ABOVE_GROUND

NAM 12Z (7am CDT) Wednesday morning Mixing Ratio and 10m wind vectors representing atmospheric moisture and its transport or advection. Notice the drastic wind shift over our area denoting the cold front with much drier air projected to filter in throughout the day Wednesday.

With the drier and cooler air in place, a beautiful Thursday should be in store with temperatures barely cresting 60 degrees under sunny skies. A jacket is advised with morning temperatures starting in the lower 40’s.

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A Perfect End to the Week

You couldn’t ask for a more beautiful end to the week! High temperatures heading into our weekend will hover in the mid to upper 70s with no rain in sight. Morning lows will continue to be a bit chilly, but not as low as what we saw the past two mornings with lows dipping into the mid 40s. A large area of high pressure is sitting just to our southwest and will continue to give us sunny skies through the early weekend.

surface2

 

 

A small disturbance will push through the area Saturday night, but not much in the way of rainfall is expected due to the dry atmosphere. A 20% chance of thunderstorms will come into play on your Sunday, but don’t cancel any outdoor plans just yet as most people will see a good deal of sunshine and dry conditions. A more substantial chance for rain will arrive early next week ahead of a cold front which looks to push through during the day on Wednesday.

Short Term Outlook:

Temperatures will gradually cool down overnight and reach a low of 50 degrees by early tomorrow morning. WKU students will need that jacket for early morning classes. An absolutely perfect day is shaping up for your Thursday. The high temperature will be 75 degrees with mostly sunny skies and a light breeze at 5 mph. Tomorrow night will once again be on the chilly side with lows dropping into the low 50s.

Extended Forecast:

Friday: Sunny, with a high near 78. Light east wind.

Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 53.

Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 77.

Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 58.

Sunday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 78.

Sunday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58.

Columbus Day: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 75.

Monday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57.

Tuesday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 71.

 

 

 

 

 

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Fall is in the Air!

Heavy rain swept through the area this morning ahead of a cold front which is currently tracking through the region. Bowling Green picked up just over a half inch of rain last night through this morning with higher totals to the north and west. Flooding occurred in some of our far northern counties where torrential rain tracked over the same areas last night and early this morning. Over 6.5 inches of rain fell across Louisville within the past 24 hours. A few counties in far western Kentucky even saw a tornado warning issued with the round of storms that moved through yesterday evening. No damage has been reported with any of those storms.

Localrain

The threat for severe weather will remain to the east of our area ahead of the cold front, but we will see only a few lingering showers for the rest of our Sunday. Clouds will persist through the evening.

surface

The rain chances will continue to diminish as we head into the evening hours with clearing overnight.

After a warm start to October, a more seasonable pattern will begin to set in this week. Temperatures will find themselves on the chilly side as we head into our Monday morning. You won’t need that winter coat quite yet, but a jacket will be handy tomorrow, especially if your heading out before 10am. The sun will be out again tomorrow, but temperatures will only reach the mid 60s. Temperatures will again dip into the mid 40s for Tuesday morning and will climb to around 70 degrees by mid afternoon. Temperatures will remain fairly seasonable for the rest of the week with minimal chances for rain over the next five days.

It’s Fall and that means the leaves are changing! Here is a map from The Weather channel breaking down the time of peak foliage for the area. Bowling Green’s foliage peaks around late October.

fall_peak_ma_720x486

So what causes the leaves to change color? Plants use glucose as a building block for growing. The plant turns water and carbon dioxide into oxygen and sugar through a process called photosynthesis which means (putting together with light). The chemical called chlorophyll is what gives the plants their green color. During the winter there is not enough daylight or water for photosynthesis. This means the trees must rest and live off the food stored up during the summer. They begin to shut down the food making process, which results in the disappearing of the chlorophyll. As the green color fades, we begin to see the yellow and orange colors (which have been in the leaves all along). The reason we can’t see these colors in the summer is because they are covered up by the vast amounts of green color.

Weekly outlook:

Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 65. Northwest wind 3 to 8 mph.

Monday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 45. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.

Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 69. Calm wind becoming northeast around 6 mph in the morning.

Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 47.

Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 74.

Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 53.

Thursday: Sunny, with a high near 75.

Thursday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 52.

Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 76.

Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 53.

Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 78.

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Updated Weekend Forecast and Storm Chances

We are keeping a close eye on an strong October mid-latititude cyclone that has been brewing in model forecasts for a few weeks now. This system is currently located over Nebraska bringing several inches of snow to Wyoming, and South Dakota. This system looks to arrive for us in central Kentucky late Saturday night into early Sunday morning brining a multi-cellular broken squall line across the eastern United States. The main threats appear to be damaging winds and an isolated hail chance. With the continued model consensus that the surface low will move to our north over the Great Lakes region, we can expected a much more dampened severe storm concern as the best ingredients will remain to the north along the warm front/surface low region. This does not rule out all chances for some storms to reach severe limits as instability looks to be more favorable than earlier this week with a strong cold front for ample forcing.

 

 

NAM forecast composite reflectivity (Left) and GFS  MSLP and precipitation (Left) comparison valid for 06 z (1 am CDT)  Sunday.

The NAM and GFS models agree fairly well on timing for this system entering around 1 am. They are also in good agreement about the mode being linear with the most intense sections of the line being to our north where better ingredients will be in play. The strong cold frontal boundary will pass through around lunchtime Sunday after the rain and storms move through brining a drop in temperature and a more October feel to the first part of next week.

 

NAM surface temperatures valid for 18z (1 pm) for Sunday showing sharp temperature gradient associated with cold frontal boundary.

 

Forecast Update:

Saturday: High, 82. Chance of precipitation increasing into the day. Some locally-strong storms possible.

 

Saturday Night: Low, 62. Chance of precipitation increasing into the night with a cool off after frontal passage.


Sunday: High, 68. Storms strong to severe in morning. Largest threat damaging winds and small hail.

Rain chances decreasing after front passes around lunchtime/early afternoon. 

 

Sunday Night: Low, 45. Cooling off with the passage of the front. Cloudy with lingering rain showers into the early morning Monday. 


Forecaster: Emily Thornton

Next Update: Sunday October 6th.

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An End of the Week Shift to more Seasonal Temperatures for October

It has been a warm start to October with highs reaching into the 80’s for the first day of the month. According to a monthly summary from the Kentucky Mesonet for October 2012, the high temperature for October 1, 2012 was 66.4 F at the station located at the Western Kentucky agricultural farm. The following week, however, showed a climb back into the upper 70’s before a drop back into the 60’s with lows in the mid 30’s. This shows that though we are unseasonably warm, we are not far off from the October temperatures of last year.

As of now, a ridge of high pressure is dominating weather over the Commonwealth bringing in the oppressive October heat. A chance for precipitation exists Wednesday as an upper level low becomes a broad low pressure wave and moves over Kentucky. Any showers that develop will likely be in the morning hours and isolated in nature.  A pattern shift will occur  into the weekend when we will see a stronger system move in bringing a trough swinging through the eastern US and bringing the polar jet and cooler drier air behind a significant cold frontal boundary set to march across the eastern United States into Saturday. This cool down will provide us temperatures more favored to the mid-60’s with lows in the mid-40’s by Sunday after the front passes through.

NAM Surface Temperature and Winds Valid 12 z (7 am CDT) Saturday, October 5th.

 

With this system, we will also expect some rain/thunderstorm chances Saturday and Sunday as the front approaches. The highest chance for precipitation looks to be Saturday night as the models bring the frontal boundary through western/central Kentucky. With the surface low displaced to our northeast, the severe threat will be significantly higher to the northeast across  Illinois, Indiana, and Ohio and  diminished for us in south-central Kentucky. This will not rule out some locally strong storms with ample moisture and moderate pockets of instability depending on the frontal passage timing and thunderstorm development period. A further update on the severe weather potential will be given on Friday.

 

GFS Mean Sea Level Pressure and Precipitation valid 12 z (7 am CDT)  for Sunday, October 6th.

 

 

Daily Forecasts:

 

Wednesday: High, 80.  Partly cloudy with winds calm to 5 mph. Slight chance for isolated rain/thunderstorms around 30%.

 

Wednesday Night: Low, 69. Cloudy with light winds. Slight chance of precipitation around 20%.

 

Thursday: High, 81. Mostly sunny with light winds from 5-10 mph.

 

Thursday Night: Low, 68. Cloudy with light winds.

 

Friday: High, 83.  Sunny with few clouds.

 

Friday Night: Low, 70. Cloudy.

 

Saturday: High, 82. Chance of precipitation increasing into the day. Some locally strong storms possible.

 

Saturday Night: Low, 62. Chance of precipitation increasing into the night with a cool off after frontal passage.

 

Forecaster: Emily Thortnon

Next Update: Friday, October 4th.

 

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Rainy Friday Night… Nice Weekend to Follow!

After a cool start to the week temperatures have gradually climbed and today’s high (Thursday) was actually a few degrees above average for this time of year. Temperatures were allowed to warm under generally sunny skies. The warmer temperatures and the mostly sunny skies are thanks in part to a high pressure system located over the eastern United States. Those sunny skies and warmer temperatures are about to change however as the high pressure system slides away from the Ohio Valley. Replacing the high will be a low pressure system and a cold front which is currently making its way across the Midwestern US. In fact there have been some areas of severe thunderstorms in parts of Missouri and Iowa. With the front bring severe storms to our area?

First of all, clouds will begin to move in during the overnight hours tonight and they will stick around likely for the majority of the day Friday. Slowly but surely rain will push from the west to the east across the state throughout the day. There could be some areas of showers and maybe a thunderstorm as early as noon but better chances for scattered showers and storms occur after 3 pm and especially after 6 pm. The heaviest and most consistent rainfall should be moving into south-central Kentucky around 8 pm. Several models indicate that the rain Friday evening will be a large shield of rainfall, with some embedded thunderstorms, lasting through the evening and into the overnight hours. Yes, this means it’s possible that Friday night football games will be soggy for south-central Kentucky; those east of I-65 will have a better chance at not having any rain problems however. So, about those storms, will any be severe you may ask? Due to Friday’s cloud cover across the region we will not have the same atmospheric instability (energy to make storms pop) as there was Thursday over the Midwest. Furthermore, the low-levels winds do not look overly favorable for severe thunderstorm development. Nevertheless, while severe storms appear unlikely at this time, there is still the potential for an isolated strong to severe storm with strong wind gusts being the main threat. The bigger story with the system will be the amount of rainfall possible. Indications are that the area will receive between 0.75 – 1.50 inches of rainfall through the course of the evening. This could lead to some ponding on the roads overnight. Rain will come to an end across the area by 6 am Saturday morning.

kasdj

A cold front associated with a low pressure system in Canada will create a focal point for rain and thunderstorms Friday afternoon and especially overnight. Rainfall is expected to be between 0.75 – 1.50 inches. Behind the front cooler air (blue arrows) will filter in. Highs will only be in the 70s Saturday and Sunday and with sunny skies, it should make for a nice weekend weatherwise.

Behind the front weather conditions should clear up nicely with sunny skies for the afternoon hours. Temperatures will have cooled a bit as well, with a high only reaching the upper 70s. The weather should be ideal for those planning to attend the WKU vs. Morgan State football game. (Go Tops!) No major weather systems are expected for Sunday or even Monday for that matter, rather the weather will remain mostly sunny with highs in the 70s. Some fog development is likely during the morning hours both Sunday and Monday. Lows could again dip into the upper 40s by Monday morning. The warm weather is not completely done yet however, as was discussed in the early week post temperatures may warm to near 90 by mid-late week next week as another ridge moves over the Ohio Valley. Of course this is subject to change and updates will be posted on the blog next week detailing such.

Daily Forecasts:

Friday: Mostly cloudy to cloudy skies with a 30% change of rain after noon increasing to a 40% chance after 3 pm. Temperatures will be held down some what with the cloud cover and thus we’ll only see a high near 81. South to southwest winds at 6-14 mph.

Friday Night: 90% of rain and thunderstorms. Rain could be heavy at times. Total rainfall is expected to range between 0.75 – 1.50 inches. Low near 65. Winds from 5-10 out of the south switching to the west by morning.

Saturday: Clouds clearing early with a mostly sunny day in store. Cooler with a high around 77. Winds from the north-northwest at 6-12 mph.

Saturday Night: Fog may develop by morning. Otherwise clear skies, light winds with a low near 50.

Sunday: Sunny skies and cool with a high near 74. Northeast wind, generally between 2-8 mph.

Sunday Night: Patchy fog again possible. Cool and clear with a low around 47.

Monday: Sunny skies with a high in the mid 70s.

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Is Summer Over? …Rain Chances this Week

The last couple of days have been incredible weather-wise. The early part of last week was warm and humid making it feel very uncomfortable. Behind the front which passed through Thursday afternoon MUCH cooler and drier air moved in. In fact if you look at the average of last weeks highs before the front and after the front you clearly see a noticeable difference.

At the Bowling Green – Warren County Regional Airport

Avg High Sunday – Thursday: 89.4 | Avg High Friday – Sunday: 76.0
Avg Low Sunday – Thursday: 68.2  | Avg Low Friday – Sunday: 50.3

The difference in the average highs is over 13 degrees while the difference in the average lows is nearly 18 degrees! Lows dropped into the mid to upper 40s Saturday morning in nearly all of south-central Kentucky and highs only made it to the low to mid 70s. So is summer weather over for good? Well, of course this depends on your definition of summer like weather. If we consider this 90 degree temperatures then yes it certainly is possible. On average the last 90 degree day in Bowling Green occurs on September 9th; last year it occurred Sept. 7th. There is some hesitation whether we have hit our last 90 degree day already this year. This is because there will likely be a few close calls in the next couple weeks, including one later this week. Our pattern expected through late next week (based on long-range models which should be taken with a grain of salt) bring in a couple of trough/ridge sequences. With that said, often times an upper-level ridge is associated with warm weather. Such a ridge will be working its way over the mid-south later this week and long ranges forecasts suggest this possibly occurring again next week as well.

Forecast upper-levels for late this week and mid-week next week. The zig-zag line indicates the axis of the forecast ridges.

Forecast upper-levels for late this week and mid-week next week. The zig-zag line indicates the axis of the forecast ridges. A ridge is often associated with warm temperatures at the surface. Could we hit the 90 degree mark during these ridges?

What does this mean for the weather this week? By the end of the week it means we will be warming back to above average temperatures (Avg High is 82). This trend will get off to a slow start however thanks to a couple small disturbances during the first half of the week. First, a weak front will push through the Bluegrass State early Monday morning. The front will not bring in more cool air but the clouds will prevent temperatures from getting any warmer than they were today (Sunday). The front will not bring a substantial chance for rain either. Nevertheless do not be surprised if there are a few showers around to start your work week; showers will generally be light. Overall the day will be cloudy to mostly cloudy. By Tuesday the front will push south of Kentucky allowing for partly cloudy skies but by Tuesday Night into Wednesday another weak disturbance moves into the Ohio Valley thus creating the chance for some showers and possibly a storm. The chance for a shower/storm will continue into Wednesday evening and Thursday morning before conditions begin to clear by Thursday afternoon. The warmest day appears as though it will be Friday ahead of the next frontal boundary. On Friday some locations could flirt with the 90 degree mark (thus the hesitation on saying summer is over!).

Forecast valid for midday Wednesday indicates showers and thunderstorms over the

Forecast valid for midday Wednesday indicates showers and thunderstorms (shades of green circled by the red oval) over the midsouth.

Daily Forecasts:

Monday: 30% chance of showers with mostly cloudy to cloudy skies. Morning low near 61 and a high around 80. Light ENE winds less than 8 mph.

Monday Night: Mostly cloudy skies will become partly cloudy to even mostly clear at times. Very light winds will be out of the ENE. Some patchy fog is possible early Tuesday morning. Low near 59.

Tuesday: Partly cloudy skies with a high near 82. Easterly winds generally less than 8 mph.

Tuesday Night: Increasing clouds becoming mostly cloudy by midnight. 30% chance of a shower after midnight with light southerly winds generally less than 8 mph. Low around 66.

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy to cloudy skies with a 40% chance of showers/thunderstorms.  High near 81.

Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy to cloudy skies with a 30% chance of showers/thunderstorms. Low around 67.

Thursday: Mostly cloudy with a 30% chance of showers/storms to start the day with some clearing into the afternoon hours. High near 85.

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Welcome Home Fall

Days at a Glance:

Thursday: Begin the day at 66 degrees with clouds building throughout the morning before scattered to widespread rain showers enter the area by early to mid-afternoon. Accumulations of .10 – .20 of an inch are anticipated area-wide with higher values locally possible. Clouds will stick around throughout the day and clear into the overnight hours. Temperatures will reach 87 before dropping into the afternoon. Winds will be light around 5-6 mph switching from SSW to NW by mid-afternoon.

 

Friday: Sunrise will be 59 degrees with patchy fog clearing off fairly quickly after daybreak. Sunshine will dominate with fall-like air and temperatures reaching 78. North winds will be persistent and strongest in the afternoon at 12-17 mph before slacking overnight.

 

Saturday: Beginning the day at a chilly 45 degrees. Sunshine and fall-like air will once again dominate with temperatures reaching 70. Winds will be persistent from the NE at 10-12 mph.

 

Sunday: Another chilly start at 49 degrees. A sunny morning will give way to clouds into the afternoon hours that will persist into the evening. Isolated light showers are expected if any precipitation at all. At best, accumulations will be a trace – .05 for the area. Temperatures will reach 79 with slight mugginess returning. Winds will be from the south at 5-6 mph before becoming variable by the evening.

 

Discussion:

The storms were as advertised this afternoon being isolated in nature, but Bowling Green took a direct hit by a strong storm in particular. Frequent lightning, minor flooding on roadways due to heavy rain, and brief gusty winds were the major outcomes. The Bowling Green Regional Airport recorded 1.86 inches of rain with 1.59 of that falling within one hour or less. The WKU Farm Mesonet station only recorded .67 inches, which speaks to the localized nature of precipitation associated with “pop-up” or ordinary cell thunderstorms. Both stations recorded 20 mph gusts.

 

An improvised waterfall down a flight of stairs in front of the Industrial Education Building (IEB) on WKU’s Campus. Picture courtesy of STN Board Member, Will Paschall, from inside IEB. This was during the peak of today’s heavy rainfall.

If you are tired of this uncomfortable, sticky heat, then you are in for a treat. The cold front mentioned in Sunday’s forecast is projected to pass the area tomorrow afternoon. Scattered to widespread showers will bring .10-.20 of an inch of area-wide rainfall with locally higher amounts possible due to embedded thunderstorms. Severe weather is not expected, with localized lightning and heavy rain the major threats.

 

NAM 21Z (4PM CDT) Composite Reflectivity for Thursday roughly indicating the rainfall associated with the cold front (thin horizontal green band spanning the KY/TN border) to be through our area.

Clouds will stick around and dissipate overnight. While relief will not be immediately felt, cooler and much drier air will begin to rush into the area overnight Thursday and all day Friday. It’s time to dust off your jackets because Friday and Saturday night will be rather chilly in the mid to upper 40’s by daybreak on Saturday and Sunday respectively. Sunshine will dominate Friday and Saturday with temperatures in the high to low 70’s respectively, but clouds will build into the area once again Sunday afternoon with little to no rain anticipated. This is associated with a very weak and dissipating cold front.

 

Get out and enjoy the comfortable, beautiful weather in store this weekend as fall makes a pleasant surprise!

 

Forecaster: Austin Boys

 

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Mugginess to Continue Through Midweek

Days at a Glance:

Tonight: Showers and lingering clouds will dissipate into the evening and overnight hours with winds from the SE at 5-6 mph. Only trace accumulations are expected.

 

Monday: Begin the day with a low of 68. Skies will continue to clear into the morning and afternoon with southerly winds at 5-6 mph. It will be rather steamy with a high of 92. Popup showers due to increasing instability are 10% likely into the latter half of the afternoon with likelihood decreasing by nightfall. Associated showers will be relatively brief and localized with accumulations under .10 of an inch.

 

Tuesday: Start the day with a low of 70. Clear skies will dominate throughout the day with SSW winds at 11-12 mph. More of the same sticky heat with a high of 93. There is a 20% chance of popup showers likely in the later afternoon hours until nightfall. Associate showers will be relatively brief and localized in nature with accumulations under .15 of an inch.

 

Wednesday: Begin with a low of 71. Clouds will begin to increase throughout the day, especially into the afternoon hours. Winds will be SW at 5-7 mph with temperatures reaching 92. A 25% chance of popup showers remains as with Monday and Tuesday, but the chance for widespread showers will also increase into the evening and overnight hours.

 

Discussion:

Increasing clouds since this morning has produced overcast conditions and disrupted our streak of sunny days. Only a marginal chance of precipitation accumulation will persist into the evening and overnight hours as clouds begin to dissipate. The sun will reemerge tomorrow as will this sticky heat that will persist into the middle of the work week. Temperatures will reach the low to mid 90’s Monday through Wednesday with dew points in the upper 60’s. This will make for a unpleasant couple of days, but do enjoy the sunshine. If outside, remember to drink plenty of fluids, especially if performing strenuous activities.

 

 

But transition is in the air as a cold front will begin to slide through our area overnight Wednesday into Thursday. Models are having difficulty agreeing to the exact timing, strength, and expected rainfall accumulation of this cold front. A better picture can be made closer to Wednesday but the setup is not looking overly impressive.

GFS 12Z (7am CDT) Thursday showing wind vectors and surface mixing ratio (i.e. amount of atmospheric moisture). Notice the bold black arrows pointing SE across the Great Lakes region. This symbolizes the leading edge of cooler, and much drier air that will filter into our area into the final days of the work week and weekend behind the cold front.

Widespread showers with embedded thunderstorms is possible with severe weather not expected. What can be assumed is a nice relief from the humidity into the final days of the work week and weekend.

 

Next Forecast: Wednesday

Forecaster: Austin Boys

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Temperatures on the Climb

Map OverlayIt has been a wet August for most of Kentucky, which is quite the contrast to this time last year. Here’s a look at the monthly rainfall across the state.

Kentucky: August, 2013 Monthly Observed Precipitation Valid at 9/1/2013 1200 UTC - Created 9/3/13 21:37 UTC

Anywhere from 10 to 15 inches of rain fell around the Bowling Green area this month. Currently, no counties are experiencing any drought.

Current High Plains Drought Monitor

This time last year much of the western half of the state was under a severe drought or worse and everyone except far eastern Kentucky was in some sort of drought.

Drought Monitor for KY

August 28, 2012

Overall, this summer will finish much wetter and cooler than last summer. But will this pattern stick with us and bring us a cold and snowy winter?

The Climate Prediction Center doesn’t seem to think so. They are forecasting a higher chance of above normal temperatures and near normal precipitation for the Ohio Valley

Off05_temp

Off05_prcp

But, the Farmer’s Almanac is a different story! They are forecasting a biting cold and snowy winter for southern Kentucky extending up through the Great Lakes. After a winter like the 2012-2013 season, I’m sure most people wouldn’t mind seeing a little more snowfall.

2014 Farmers Almanac Winter Snowfall Prediction

Today:

It was a gorgeous day across southern Kentucky as there were few clouds and the temperatures struggled to make it out of the low 80s. Bowling Green is currently hovering around it’s high temperature for the day at 81 degrees.

Tonight:

We will dip into the upper 50s tonight with clear skies. Make sure you grab your jacket in the morning if your leaving for work early or heading out to class.

Tomorrow: Expect a high temperature of 84 degrees with sunny skies

Tomorrow night: Another cold front will work it’s way into the region tomorrow night, but don’t expect much in the way of rain as only a few scattered showers are expected, mainly north of the area. So if you have any outdoor plans, don’t be too worried. Temperatures won’t be affected by this system much at all as temps will only drop into the low 60s Thursday night and Friday looks to continue the warming trend.

 

Overall, a nice weekend is taking shape. It will be a little on the warm side, but rain chances will remain low.

Weekend Outlook:

Friday: Sunny, with a high near 85. East wind 3 to 5 mph.

Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 63.

Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 87.

Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 66.

Sunday: Partly sunny, with a high near 89.

 

Here’s the forecast for all you folks heading down to Knoxville, Tennessee for the WKU vs. Tennessee football game. (Kickoff is at 11:21 am central time)

Kickoff: 74 degrees and sunny

End of Game: 86 degrees and sunny

 

 

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