1. Monday a front will move into the region. With this will bring a likelihood of showers and storms in the afternoon and night. instability will be sufficient for a few strong to severe storms with hail and gusty winds. I don’t expect widespread severe weather due to the lakc of shear in place. Highs will be in the low 80′s after morning lows in the low 60′s. My main concern is for the storms to be slow moves with training and slow eastward progression, this may lead to some isolated high water issues as well.
2. Tuesday the front checks up to our southeast. As a result, clouds and a few showers may linger . Lows will be around 60 with highs in the mid 70′s. Wednesday may feature similar conditions. Lows in the upper 50′s and highs in the low 70′s.
3. Thursday will be sunny with lows in the upper 40′s and highs in the upper 60′s.
4. Overall the pattern into the middle of the week establishes an east coast trough for week 2 of May as pointed out by the ECMWF weekly model last week. My thinking is more fronts and storms to keep the heat in check till the last week of the month.
GAINES
