Rain to Close the Weekend

Days at a Glance:

Thursday:  High – 39  Low – 18  Winds – 5-7 mph NW  Precipitation – 0%  Skies – Clear

Friday:  High – 49  Low – 22  Winds – 5-6 mph E  Precipitation – 50% widespread rain showers into the evening and overnight hours  Skies – Clear becoming mostly cloudy and overcast by late afternoon

Saturday: High – 52  Low – 33  Winds – 6-8 mph ENE  Precipitation – 100% widespread rain showers in the early morning hours with more scattered, but heavier rain further into the evening and overnight

Sunday: High – 51  Low – 32  Winds – 6-8 mph E increasing to 20-23 mph SW mid afternoon slackening to 15-17 mph NW late evening Precipitation – 80% residual rain as the front moves through the area with total accumulations for both days under one inch


Discussion:

Currently, the temperature at the WKU Farm Mesonet is at 27 F. By tomorrow morning, temperatures will have bottomed out to the upper teens, so bundle up! Tomorrow will be another nice day with temperatures struggling to escape the 30’s. Thursday night will be another cold one in the lower 20’s. Friday will be another beautiful day with a high near 50, but clouds will be increasing throughout the day into the evening. Widespread, but light rain showers will be an increasing possibility into the overnight hours and Saturday morning before tapering off by mid-morning. Clouds will stick around throughout the day with increasing winds until another round of rain impacts the area into the evening and around midnight. This will be more scattered, but intense in nature because it is associated with a cold front compared to the warm front Saturday morning.

GFS 12Z (7 am) surface winds, temperature, and mean sea level pressure Sunday morning. Notice the low pressure system responsible for the weekend rain passing our area, and the cold, northwest winds behind it.

Models are not agreeing very well with total rainfall accumulations, but I’ll keep the baseline at half of an inch with one inch as the limit for the weekend event. With the rain clearing out by mid Sunday morning, skies will clear out by late afternoon with temperatures falling throughout the day thanks to gusty NW winds.

Forecaster: Austin Boys

 

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