Upcoming Rain Chances

The weather has been stuck on repeat the past few days as we’ve seen day after day of sunny skies and warm to even hot temperatures in the mid 80s. While it feels a little for this time of year, it certainly beats the cold we became accustomed to this past winter and into the early spring.

We should see at least one more day of sunny skies and temperatures in the 80s… that being today. However, a low pressure system and cold front are approaching from the west. Overnight clouds should increase and by Friday morning our rain chances¬†will be increasing dramatically. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected Friday into Friday night with this system.

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WPC surface analysis for Thursday afternoon. Note the approaching rainfall in association with the cold front and low pressure to our west. Meanwhile, high pressure remains in control for today.

Areas in western Kentucky have been placed under a “slight risk” for severe weather. This area includes locations along and west of a line extending from Hopkinsville to Owensboro. While south-central Kentucky isn’t included in this area, there could be a few strong to isolated severe thunderstorms with a primary threat of strong gusty winds.

SPC outlook for Friday includes a "slight risk" for severe thunderstorms just to our west.

SPC outlook for Friday includes a “slight risk” for severe thunderstorms just to our west.

Rainfall could be heavy at times, especially Friday afternoon. Overall rainfall totals should be in the 0.4″ to 0.8″ range through Saturday morning. A few more areas of upper-level disturbance will move through during Saturday and Sunday which will allow rain chances to continue through the weekend. Rain during the weekend should be far from a total washout though, possibly adding about 0.25″ to our total.

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WPC expected rainfall through Sunday morning.

Looking longer range, rain chances will continue into early next week as another upper-level disturbance and associated low-pressure system and cold front approach.

Daily Forecast:

Today: Mostly Sunny with a high near 84. Clouds will increase into the afternoon. Breezy with southwest winds from 10-20 mph.

Thursday Night: Increasing clouds, becoming cloudy by morning. Low around 67. South-southwest winds at 3-9 mph.

Friday: 80% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms. High near 77. Southwest winds from 10-20 mph.

Friday Night: 70% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms. Low around 64. Rainfall totals (including Friday) between 0.4″ – 0.8″. Southwest winds at 6-12 mph.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy with a 40% chance of showers especially in the morning. High near 80. Southwest winds from 8-14 mph.

Saturday Night: Mostly cloudy with a 30% chance of showers. Low near 63. Southerly winds at 3-10 mph.

Sunday: 50% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms. High around 82.

Sunday Night: Mostly cloudy with a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms; low around 64.

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