It is with great anticipation that today could be the first severe weather day. Below is the Day 1 Convective Outlook.
![](https://meteorology.blog.wku.edu/files/2019/02/FA139CF0-9002-44C8-8EB8-78A37A976F00.gif)
The greatest threat for severe weather lies within the red, for places in Southwestern Tennessee and Northern Mississippi face a moderate risk for severe weather. Western Tennessee, Western Alabama, Central Mississippi, Northeastern Louisiana, and Eastern Arkansas are under a enhanced risk. For our case, Bowling Green just faces a slight risk, along with aforementioned states although to a larger extent. More information regarding this map can be found here.
![](https://meteorology.blog.wku.edu/files/2019/02/58D7FB25-B8F4-4BDD-A619-E5C59A1C27DA.jpeg)
A trough that is established across Kentucky, Illinois, Missouri, and Kansas will be a driver for this severe weather event. A low pressure system centralized over the Texas panhandle will propagate northward as seen below.
![](https://meteorology.blog.wku.edu/files/2019/02/F1D5AC13-A8B2-4B43-8041-E6359E233A38.gif)
Now the cold front can be best visualized starting at 20Z Saturday (2pm CST) and move through the mid-South overnight Sunday. The storms will lie way ahead of the cold front, and once it passes, there will be some sunshine for our Sunday.
![](https://meteorology.blog.wku.edu/files/2019/02/3E409CD4-F150-4BAA-B299-A9AE00CEBF93.gif)
I’d like to cover the areas that were under a moderate risk first. The squall line will pass through these areas Saturday afternoon. Nevertheless, there will be severe weather for much of Tennessee and Kentucky as seen below.
![](https://meteorology.blog.wku.edu/files/2019/02/64B358C0-8280-4419-AFD8-E66BE7092840.gif)
Highs for Saturday in Bowling Green will be in the mid-60’s with lows in the mid 40’s. With the storms making a pass, there will be some sunshine for our Sunday. Highs will be much cooler in the mid-50’s and lows even colder in the lower 30’s. Monday will see similar conditions to Sunday, with high’s in the upper 40’s, and lows in the upper 20’s.
Summary:
Saturday: 90% chance for thunderstorms, possibly severe. High: 65, Low: 47
Sunday: Sunshine, High: 56, Low: 32
Monday: Sunshine, High: 45, Low: 28