Author Archives: Gregory Goodrich

As is often the case with winter storms, I have not paid too much attention to the likelihood of severe weather with this front. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed the Mid-South in a slight risk area for severe … Continue reading →

My last post introduced the idea of a cold and possibly stormy last 10 days of November. The order and timing of events speculated on in that post is becoming more clear, although uncertainties remain.

My last post at the beginning of the month discussed the possibility of mid-November cold with the caveat that “the EPO is not supportive of an extended cold air outbreak”. This turned out to be exactly true as the EPO … Continue reading →

As prefaced in my last couple of posts here and here, the first arctic air mass of the season is poised to descend on the Mid-South early next week. The models are also hinting at a possible wet weekend for … Continue reading →

Here are some interesting statistics regarding our record-breaking late October rain event in the Mid-South. Bowling Green is used as the station of record for all statistics.

The model and teleconnection data are suggesting that the first ten days of November will feature below normal temperatures with at least one and possibly two arctic air masses over the eastern United States.

Mark Baldwin of the Tennessee Emergency Management Agency (and a former WKU graduate) posed this question here and I did a little research to find the answer. I love when “people” say things like this about climate since “people” are … Continue reading →

Even though my last post mentioned a warm start to November, the 06Z and 12Z runs of the operational GFS suggest quite the opposite. In fact, if either of the morning runs of the GFS were to verify it is … Continue reading →

Since my last post on October 10th “Interesting pattern last two weeks of October” the jet stream has indeed been as progressive as predicted with a number of recent storms. The next storm on the horizon should bring beneficial rainfall … Continue reading →