Category Archives: Kentucky Weather

The last post mentioned that the heat wave this week would be short-lived due to a negative NAO that would develop mid-week. This negative NAO will now combine with a negative EPO and positive PNA to bring an “Autumn preview” … Continue reading →

A nasty 594 ridge is poised to bring the Mid-South close to the 100F mark this weekend. Will tropical thunderstorms from the remnants of Dolly keep us from triple digits?

Now that summer 2008 is officially half-over, I thought it would be interesting to see how my forecast from May is turning out. Aside from a very hot first two weeks of June, everything seems to be on track.

My last post two weeks ago ended with the following… If this all happens as currently forecast, the 2nd half of June could end up cooler than normal due to a NW flow, but we may not see very much … Continue reading →

The 2nd in a series of weakening cold fronts will bring about a pattern change that will end the early-season heat wave and bring about a return to cooler weather. The first front will cross the Mid-South Tuesday and will … Continue reading →

One small change in the value of a teleconnection is all that was needed to change our weather from cool and wet to hot and dry. This is a perfect example of why seasonal forecasting is so difficult.

June is almost here and Kentucky has yet to record a 90 degree day, although southern KY could get there on Friday (although I wouldn’t hold my breath). The median date for the first 90 degree day of the year … Continue reading →

In my last post I discussed how a ridge would build across the central U.S. Thursday and Friday in response to a deepening trough over the western United States. As often happens this time of year, the downstream polar vortex … Continue reading →

In my last post I mentioned that there was some model disagreement regarding the 2nd half of next week. I mentioned that the GFS called for a return to cold and wet while the European model kept the cold air … Continue reading →

The phased jet streak pattern mentioned in my previous post that resulted in rain every 2-3 days will transition to a less wet but cool northwest flow over the next week.