Category Archives: Kentucky Weather

Blizzard for New England; heavy rain for south-central KY

I haven’t changed my thinking with regards to the storm for Monday and Tuesday. The double-jet structure of the storm that I talked about here will bring 1-2″ of rain to Bowling Green Monday and Monday night. We may also … Continue reading →

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MOS and arctic air

Update: Sunday, 2/4 9:54 pm I will score how well the NWS and MOS fared against the arctic air mass over the Saturday-Wednesday period. I will group the Bowling Green and Lexington forecast by day to make scoring easier. By … Continue reading →

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Where is the snow?

As a forecaster, the goal is to get the meteorology right (storm track, thermal profile, dynamics) when a storm is approaching. Once the meteorology is correct, it is fairly easy to predict the weather (temperatures and precipitation) and you will … Continue reading →

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Where is the warm air?

The NWS, WNKY, and WBKO all mention that any snow that falls Thursday will mix with and possibly change over to rain during the afternoon. One reason they may be concerned about this is that as I mentioned in a … Continue reading →

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Record-breaking cold

Anyone out there who wants to be a meteorologist (especially a TV meteorologist) should always remember to check the records when dealing with extreme cold. I have not heard any of the local TV mets nor the NWS mentioning the … Continue reading →

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Snow accumulation update

As expected, in the past few hours, both WNKY and WBKO have joined the NWS in drastically lowering their temperatures for the Sat-Tues period. But interestingly, both WBKO and WNKY are downplaying the Thursday/Friday storm (both are predicting one inch … Continue reading →

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Weekend temperature update

As I was writing the previous post, the NWS has drastically lowered their temperatures for the upcoming Sat-Tues period, in agreement with my discussion from yesterday. As of Monday afternoon, they had high temperatures in the low 30s with lows … Continue reading →

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Dueling model biases

Everything from Monday’s discussion is on track. The NWS is starting to get on board with just how bitterly cold it will be across the eastern CONUS this weekend. The Duluth, MN forecast office noted Tuesday morning that some parts … Continue reading →

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Coldest week since January 2003

The last time Bowling Green, KY had a low temperature below zero (-2) was January 24, 2003. The week of January 21-27 averaged 14 degrees below normal and featured an average high/low of 28/11 (relative to normals of 43/25). The … Continue reading →

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It’s cold enough…so why no snow?

After an anomalously warm start to the winter for the mid-south, seasonable temperatures (30s/40s) have returned since 1/16. So why have we remained snowless? The primary reason for that has been the pattern in the upper levels of the atmosphere. … Continue reading →

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