1. Over the weekend the region ended up seeing more of a northerly flow off the great lakes which allowed for some light snow showers to continue into Saturday the total for the clipper and these snow showers was just over 2 inches. Last night it was easy to tell where it was clear (temps near 0 due to snow) and cloudy (still over 10*) , this goes to show that with clear skies a snowcover can easily take 5 or 10 degrees off overnight lows, here’s a look at the mesonet lows. Today highs should get into the 20’s regionwide.
2. Another clipper will be tracking to our north Monday night however the region may still see a period of light snow with under 1/2 inch of accumulation. Unlike the last clipper which had potential on the models before the track shifted north this one for sure will track north of the region giving us just the chance for light snow and keeping any higher accumulations over the bluegrass, eastern Kentucky and the Ohio valley where snowfall is running well above normal. Highs will be only be around 30 Monday and with temperatures in the 20’s Monday night some slick spots will possible. Tuesday will be cloudy thanks to a nw flow off the great lakes but any snow showers will be to our east.
3. Southerly flow should get underway big time with a shot at average high temperatures in the low 40’s by Thursday with more sunshine. Some of the solar energy will like go toward melting any snow left Wednesday keeping us just under 40 for highs.
4. By next weekend there should be a large low pressure system in the gulf with a track from the deep south to the Carolina’s, rather ideal for a decent snowfall here. However with seasonable temps in the 30’s, mixed precipitation of snow, ice and rain is possible from this system. Of particular concern is the set-up from the 00z euro which has plenty of low level cold being drilled into the region with the upper level maps supporting liquid rain this hints at an ice event. Models solutions have varied quite a bit from day to day and will likely do so through mid week.