forecast through mid week

An arctic cold front will be in place over the upper Ohio valley into the Ozarks. We will be in the warm sector as a result mild air will continue to stream into the region with highs in the low 50’s with the threat for a stray shower. Also low pressure will develop along the front leading to the entire forecast period being mostly cloudy. By Tuesday afternoon the low pressure will deepen and track overhead leading to increasing southerly winds along with heavy rain and thunder by Tuesday night the lack of instability should prevent any strong to severe storms. Highs Tuesday may actually reach the low 60’s after morning lows in the 40’s. The low pressure and frontal boundary will move through early Wednesday leading to much colder conditions with temperatures steady in the mid 30’s with a chance for flurries. The next chance for any measurable snow will be late Friday and Saturday

– there is good agreement on the modeling for the first system Tuesday with high confidence. However I feel looking at the 500 mb pattern the next system for fri-sat should trend northwest with time on the modeling  giving us a chance for snow.  during

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