A Taste of Winter on the Way

It has been a gorgeous weekend with plenty of sunshine and comfortable temperatures. The rest of your Sunday will be no different with high temperatures topping out in the low 60s with little cloud cover. Things will cool off quickly overnight as the temperature will drop to just below freezing by early tomorrow morning. Veterans Day will continue the nice stretch of weather with a high around 63 degrees and mostly sunny skies.

The big story of the week will be the arctic air mass diving south behind a cold front, making its presence felt in our area by Tuesday. This air mass will modify before it reaches us as it encounters warmer air to the north, but nonetheless, frigid air will be in place by Wednesday morning with temperatures dipping into the low to mid 20s.


Will we see any snow with this system?

We will most likely see small amounts of rain and even a chance for some snow Tuesday morning. Farther to our north and east there is a chance for an inch or two of accumulation, but no more than a dusting is expected in our area.

Here is a look at the NAM snow output for the area.


The NAM has us getting a dusting at best, while north and eastern Kentucky could see up to 2 inches of the white stuff. Earlier runs of the NAM had the heaviest precipitation placed over southern and western Kentucky, putting Bowling Green in the 1 inch of snow category (if temperatures allowed). The past three runs of the NAM have consistently shifted the heaviest precipitation and highest chance for snow to the north and east. While the exact path of the system is not set in stone, an accumulating snow event is not likely.

NAM 10am precipitation and temperaturessurface

Temps. in the low to mid 30s at 10am


(.03 – .05 inches of precip. for the area)

What time will it arrive?

Light rain will arrive early Tuesday morning and come to an end around lunch time. It won’t be a heavy rain event by any means, but there will be a chance for mixing of sleet or snow between 7am and 10am. The exact temperature upon arrival of precip. will play a role in just how much of the precipitation is snow (if any). Ground temperatures are too warm to allow for any sticking and the pavement temperatures will stay well above freezing for the event. As we head into Tuesday night, there will be a chance for some ice patches. So be cautious as your heading to work or campus Wednesday morning.

Weekly Outlook:

Veterans Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 61. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph in the morning.

Monday Night: A 30 percent chance of rain, mainly after midnight.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 35. Light northwest wind becoming north 5 to 10 mph after midnight.

Tuesday: A chance of rain and snow before 10am, then a chance of rain between 10am and noon.  Cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with a high near 40. North wind 11 to 15 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 25.

Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 41.

Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 25.

Thursday: Sunny, with a high near 49.

Thursday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 32.

Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 53.

Friday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 37.

Saturday: A 20 percent chance of showers.  Partly sunny, with a high near 57.


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