Author Archives: Mitchell Gaines

Wednesday the system we were tracking Tuesday had moved east through the mid south and Ohio valley. This brought cooler and more stable air to the plains which is not favorable for any thunderstorms. However that morning we identified the potential … Continue reading →

Highlights – scattered showers and storms still in the forecast for Thursday – much welcomed dry period Friday and Saturday – another frontal system Sunday Forecast: The frontal boundary which produced numerous rounds of severe weather and flooding over a … Continue reading →

Highighlights: – frontal boundary to remain in region throughout forecast period – periods of thunderstorms each day with severe weather threats – risk for flash flooding by Wednesday night Discussion: A frontal boundary which has been nearly stationary along the … Continue reading →

Right now my thinking matches up well with the 12z ECMWF and JMA from Saturday for later in the week and the Sunday 00z GFS for Monday. Today should be a mostly cloudy day with highs in the 40′s ahead of the next … Continue reading →

Sorry for the delay with getting an updated forecast out. I’ve known  since this morning this is going to far west for snow. In my last post i discussed the westward model trend well the upper low is slightly stronger … Continue reading →

First to recap this historic storm which produced tremendous amounts of ice and snow to our northwest along with very gusty winds for most of the country. for regional recaps follow these links. http://www.crh.noaa.gov/lsx/?n=02_01_2011 http://www.srh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=tsa&storyid=63371&source=0 http://www.crh.noaa.gov/sgf/?n=event_2011feb01_summary http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=ind&storyid=63391&source=0 http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&format=CI&version=1&glossary=0&highlight=off&issuedby=BOX&product=LSR and for … Continue reading →

An arctic cold front will be in place over the upper Ohio valley into the Ozarks. We will be in the warm sector as a result mild air will continue to stream into the region with highs in the low … Continue reading →

we see many temperature busts with modeling and forecasts underdoing the WAA ahead of a week clipper which will pass well to our north. This will result in melting of the persistent snowcover across the region. Highs today will be in the 50′s with … Continue reading →

Overall around 2 inches of snow fell in Warren county with higher amounts just to our southwest and east of around 4 where the heavier bands set-up. I have seen no totals which confirm the 3-5 the NWS has  for Warren … Continue reading →