Category Archives: U.S. Weather

WKU Storm Chase 2016 – Day 2

Our morning forecast discussion identified an enhanced kink in probable dryline formation that formed an axis between the western Panhandle regions into the central Texas Panhandle. Model data suggested caps would break around 1-2 pm in Colorado and storms would … Continue reading

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WKU Storm Chase 2016 – Day 1

Greetings, and welcome to the official blog of the 7th Annual WKU Weather Analysis and Forecasting Field Methods Course (a.k.a. Storm Chase)! Daily updates on the group’s activities and targets will be posted here. Last week, our team of students … Continue reading

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A warm and dry Thanksgiving will turn into a wet weekend.

Thursday:  Sunny with a high near 64° and a low near 35°. Friday:  Sunny with a high near 68° and a low near 42°. Saturday: Clouds increasing throughout the day.  Highs near 65° and lows near 40°. Sunday:  Rain showers … Continue reading

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New look at Texas and Oklahoma drought conditions.

With La Niña conditions expected to stay at current strength or get stronger, the people of Oklahoma and Texas are rightfully concerned about their water conditions.  The map below is an interesting look at how many inches of rain are … Continue reading

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HPC has backed off of totals, but Texas and Oklahoma still wet this weekend.

As I mentioned yesterday, the HPC models tend to overdo forecasted precipitation totals, expecially for long-term periods.  The new 5-day totals still show a significant change to drought conditions in the north Texas/south Oklahoma areas, and also a significant flash-flooding … Continue reading

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Drought relief for Texas?

Over the weekend, the extremely drought stricken areas of Oklahoma and Texas could potentially get some help from mother nature.  Thanks to the blocking pattern that’s currently in place over the eastern United States, any storms that move into the … Continue reading

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Tropical Update and the Madden-Julian Oscillation

Now that we’ve finally passed the peak of the hurricane season and almost the entire eastern half of the country will experience nice weather for a while, it’s a good idea to take a look at the tropics to see … Continue reading

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Surprise 8-12″ snowstorm in Iowa Sunday

It is not often when an 8-12″ snowstorm can be considered a “surprise”, but that was the case Sunday in SE Iowa and parts of NW Illinois.

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Uncertainty decreasing – Arctic blast set to proceed for northern U.S.

My previous post outlined some caveats that represented uncertainty over the pattern evolution over the 2nd half of January. Recent data has diminished the uncertainty which means that a wickedly cold pattern should begin across the northern plains later next … Continue reading

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If you like snow, move here

NWS forecast for the higher elevations outside Mammoth Lakes, California for January 4. Today: Periods of snow. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 25. Strong and damaging winds, with a south wind 100 to 105 mph decreasing … Continue reading

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