Split-flow pattern to return

After the first real fall-like air mass of the season, a split-flow pattern will return to the Mid-South and temperatures will once again warm above normal. Rain chance look slim until the weekend of 10/12, when the first big winter storm of the season may wallop the northern Rockies and northern Plains. Continue reading

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AMS Mentorship program

The AMS Board for Private Sector Meteorologists (BPSM) has reached across private industry to connect a cross-section of professionals working in private sector positions related to meteorology willing to volunteer their time to work with students interested in learning more about the private sector. Continue reading

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Kyle heads to Nova Scotia – KY rain chances fizzle

Model trends show that Tropical Storm Kyle appears to be headed for Nova Scotia rather than New England, which will set a chain of events in motion that will diminish the chance for rain in the Mid-South next week. However, chilly air is still expected to arrive in time for Fall Break next week. Continue reading

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October should start chilly

Aside from the gusty winds from the remnants of Hurricane Ike a week ago, September has been a dull month weather-wise for the Mid-South with a split flow pattern that has kept Kentucky comfortably warm and dry. The good news is, a series of events in the southwestern Atlantic is shaping up to create a dramatic change in the synoptic pattern. Continue reading

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Finally, some interesting weather

Since my last post in eary August, the weather over the Mid-South has been typical of August — Boring!! However, the models are showing signs of an active pattern for much of the eastern United States over the next couple of weeks. Fall is here! Continue reading

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Late-week cool snap to follow heat

The last post mentioned that the heat wave this week would be short-lived due to a negative NAO that would develop mid-week. This negative NAO will now combine with a negative EPO and positive PNA to bring an “Autumn preview” to the Great Lakes and a welcome cool snap to the Mid-South, along with a good chance of some precipitation. Continue reading

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Dolly remnants and 100F heat

A nasty 594 ridge is poised to bring the Mid-South close to the 100F mark this weekend. Will tropical thunderstorms from the remnants of Dolly keep us from triple digits? Continue reading

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Summer 2008 half-time report

Now that summer 2008 is officially half-over, I thought it would be interesting to see how my forecast from May is turning out. Aside from a very hot first two weeks of June, everything seems to be on track. Continue reading

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Cool pattern to end – but will it rain?

My last post two weeks ago ended with the following…

If this all happens as currently forecast, the 2nd half of June could end up cooler than normal due to a NW flow, but we may not see very much in the way of precipitation.

This turned out to be a good forecast, so much so that I haven’t even had to run the A.C. for the past week. Unfortunately, the lack of recent rainfall has me somewhat concerned since there doesn’t appear to be much relief in the long range forecast. Continue reading

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Pattern change to cooler mid-month

The 2nd in a series of weakening cold fronts will bring about a pattern change that will end the early-season heat wave and bring about a return to cooler weather. The first front will cross the Mid-South Tuesday and will knock 5 degrees off our highs (90 instead of 95) for Wednesday-Friday. The second front will cross the Mid-South Saturday and will knock another 5 degrees off our highs Sunday – Wednesday (85 instead of 90). By mid-June, most models show that a trough will return to the eastern United States, which will bring about cooler weather and possibly some rain. Continue reading

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