Sunday 9:00 pm CDT update: What you see is what you get. No changes. See below for more details. Good luck!!
Saturday 9:00 pm CDT update: No changes to the forecast. See the Friday update for more details. This has been well-modeled from the being and it looks like the low will be centered over southern CT during the race. The heaviest rain should end by early morning but showers will be expected throughout the race. Final update will be Sunday evening. Continue reading
If highs today are stuck in the 40s across KY with a thickness of 540 dm and 850 mb temps of -3 then Sunday could be a blustery, raw day with highs from 43-48 over Bowling Green and 38-43 over Louisville and Lexington. Continue reading
The recent record-breaking cold April 6-9 that led to the cancellation of the Cleveland-Seattle series at Jacobs Field has had sportsradio people questioning why Major League Baseball schedules games at cold weather cities without a domed stadium during the first week of April. I decided to analyze the historical frequency of how often cold and/or snowy weather can be expected to occur at six cold weather non-domed baseball cities; Chicago, Detroit, Cleveland, Pittsburgh, Boston, and New York. Continue reading
Storm #1 is currently underway across the central portion of the United States. A couple of lines of thundershowers have moved across south-central KY Wednesday with several inches of snow occurring north of I-80 in the Midwest. For the latest on the severe threat I will defer to the experts at the SPC. Storm #2 is currently over California and will move across Texas and into the Mid-South Friday-Saturday. The models are suggesting this storm will take a dramatically different track from previous runs and signs are pointing to a major Northeast Blizzard for Sunday-Monday. Continue reading
Don’t put away the sweaters and winter jackets just yet. We have not seen the last of cold temperatures across the Midwest and Mid-South and areas near the Great Lakes have not seen the last of the white stuff either. Continue reading
I’ve been getting this question a lot from my Meteorology students. The culprit for the arctic blast is our very warm March . Whenever a large portion of the U.S. has such warm temperature anomalies, it means that Canada was equally as cold. The zonal pattern that led to the anomalous warmth broke down since a zonal pattern is baroclinically unstable over time. The East Pacific Oscillation (EPO) and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) have also been somewhat well correlated since December. Continue reading
The northern counties of Kentucky near Cincinnati may get a brief burst of snow during the Friday-Saturday time period as the trough bringing the coldest of the arctic blast moves across the state. While this is not going to be an accumulating snowfall, the overall synoptic pattern is very similar to one of the last widespread April snows in Kentucky history. Continue reading
There is a good chance that Easter may be colder than last Christmas across south-central Kentucky. The core of the arctic blast that will keep temperatures around 15 degrees below normal through the beginning of next week will move across the area this weekend (Can you believe the 522 dm thickness over Bowling Green??). Temperatures Saturday will only be in the middle 40s across south-central KY and will struggle to reach much past 40 in the north. Easter morning will start with lows in the teens in a few spots across the north and in the middle 20s across the south. But just how often does Easter end up colder than Christmas? Continue reading
Bowling Green continued its streak of five consecutive months of below normal precipitation Saturday, March 31st. Since November 1st, Bowling Green has had a cumulative rainfall deficit of 8.63 inches, making it the 5th driest such period since 1893. March was the driest (3rd all-time) and warmest relative to normal (9th all-time) of the five-month period. But does the dry start to the year necessarily mean that south-central KY will have a dry summer? Continue reading
I did a short segment on the Bowling Green ABC affiliate WBKO this afternoon. To see my broadcast TV debut, click here. I acquitted myself well except for one small goof. Houses are generally not completely destroyed until winds reach 200 mph, not 100 mph as I said in the video. Actually, most modern houses are structurally designed to withstand winds of up to 100 mph (they should only lose windows and parts of the roof to this point). Beyond 100 mph is when they start to break apart. At 200 mph, nothing will be left but the slab.
For an excellent discussion on the differences between the old F-scale and the new EF-scale, click here.
