Good News for Labor Day Weekend

If you have plans for this upcoming weekend, we have good news for you! We will see the return of those ideal summer conditions that we were hoping for by tomorrow, continuing throughout the weekend.

Tomorrow, in the morning, that troublesome cold front will be moving out of our area and towards the east coast. Therefore, leaving us with a high pressure approaching from the east. This will be a rather slow-moving system, moving through the Midwest throughout the weekend and at the start of next week.

(Weather Prediction Center)

As we move into the weekend, cloud cover will reduce substantially, as will the chances for any precipitation. In the afternoons, temperatures will reach comfortable values in the mid to upper 80’s, and cooler lows in the lower 60’s will take place at nighttime to end out each day. There will be little to no breeze to offer any relief from the sun’s rays, so be sure to stay hydrated if you plan on being outdoors.

We hope you have a wonderful Labor Day weekend! Stay safe!

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Cold Front Brings More Rain But Also Cooler Temps

Good morning everyone! Hopefully, the rain last night and this morning did not cause any problems. Over the last 24 hours, Bowling Green has received about an inch of rain with some spots receiving closer to half an inch.

Source: https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/noaa/noaa.gif

The cold front across states to our northwest will continue to move down and across the area over the next couple of days bringing continued chances of rain/storms with it. For today amounts will be from a quarter to half an inch with closer to 3/4 falling tonight. Tomorrow’s rainfall could be another quarter to half an inch. As always there is the potential for heavier rainfall in some areas, so please be aware of any localized flooding especially on roadways as this rainfall will be made in addition to that which fell last night/ this morning. Just because it looks like the water isn’t that deep doesn’t mean it isn’t.

Courtesy: IDV

As far as temperatures go, it looks like we may be finally headed towards more comfortable conditions. Highs look to be headed for the low 80s Friday and Saturday with dewpoints finally getting under 70 on these days. As far as today and tomorrow goes, highs should be in the mid 80s with mid 70 dewpoints leaving things still muggy and feeling like it’s in the low 90s. I think we can make it through a couple more funky days for a beautiful weekend! Just make sure to keep your umbrella/rain coat/pancho ready for today and tomorrow.

  • Summary:
    • Wednesday
      • High – 85
      • Low – 73
      • Precipitation – 1″ to 1.25″ with the potential for closer to 2″ in some areas and isolated storms
    • Thursday
      • High – 84
      • Low – 70
      • Precipitation – 1/4″ to 1/2″ with isolated storms
    • Friday
      • High – 82
      • Low – 57

Stay safe and have a great week!

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A Split Forecast for the Start of September

For the first day of the month, we will see conditions that will differ from those expected for the following weekdays. We will stay relatively dry for half of the day, with partly cloudy skies and a light to gentle breeze for some relief from the patchy sunlight paired with oppressive humidity. Temperatures will peak at the mid-80’s this afternoon and stoop down to the mid-70’s by this evening. If you plan on spending any time outdoors throughout the day, we encourage for you to stay hydrated and wear light clothing to prevent from any heat-related illness.

Unfortunately, we will see cloud cover become more prominent as evening approaches. Around 4pm, the chances for scattered showers and thunderstorms will increase, as shown in the figure below. Although the severity of these will lack, we can’t rule out the possibility of gusty winds or brief moments of heavy rainfall.

Today’s projected scattered storms, from 12-5pm (HRRR Model, Pivotal Weather)
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Rainy Start to the Week!

We caught a break from the rain today as the last bits of isolated showers in the region pushed eastward this morning. The high today is 83° with overcast conditions for most of the day. Scattered showers are likely to develop in the late afternoon in south central KY. The low tonight is right at a comfortable 70° with partly cloudy conditions.

Our next chance of rain comes on Tuesday as a cold front makes its way into the region. The high will be a bit warmer at 86°, and the low will be about 72°. Scattered showers with a few strong winds are expected to begin in the evening hours as a slow moving low pressure system in the upper levels triggers waves of energy towards the Tennessee Valley. The NAM shows areas with 2-4″ of precipitable water from tomorrow night into Thursday. This setup puts most of Kentucky at a marginal risk of severe weather according to the severe thunderstorm outlook. Though, the biggest concern would be for potential localized flooding.

NAM’s predicted precipitable water values for Tuesday. Values increase throughout the region into Thursday night and early Friday morning.

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Cold and Rainy

The rain will continue tonight as a cold from moves into our area, some ice will be possible on bridges and elevated structures in the morning as the low temperature briefly drops below freezing. It will warm up slightly though, with a afternoon high of 37°F. Rain will continue for most of the day Tuesday, finally moving out of our area late Tuesday night. Depending on how quickly the temperatures drop Tuesday night there is a chance for some light snow flurries late Tuesday afternoon, however that does not appear to be likely at this time.
Wednesday morning will be cold! The low temperature will reach 25°F Wednesday morning, however it will be slightly warmer Wednesday afternoon, the high temperature is expected to hit 41.

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Cold front

I use many weather application, continuing radar and satellite images. Some of this application have options to give you warning for any progress that come up within time. Anyway, last night about 12pm one of them gave me a warning for light rain will accrue after 10 minutes. I saw outside to see the sky condition but no single cloud was present. I decided to stay until to see this rain although I was sleepy but nothing occurred. I don’t know from where that’s warring comes from but I know that it difficult to predict the weather and we must rely on weather forecasters more rather than fully depend on whether models because the weather modules give the output based on the input. The problem because if the input was wrong, how does the output look like? That was happen last night!

surface map showing a massive cold front : NWS

The situation right now, a cold front with moderate humidity crossing the area heading east, causing temperatures to drop and forming a cloud cover that lasts even for days (see figure 1). The high temperature will be around mid-50 and then it will drop down to mid-30 this night. We will have some rain but amount of this rain is less than a tenth of an inch possible. For Saturday and Sunday, a high surface pressure will allow to open the blue sky for Saturday. The surface high pressure will have shifted to east to the coast which allows for returning flow to send Gulf moisture back to Kentucky. Therefore, Cloud cover will increase Sunday to Sunday night and result for a slight chance of light rain.

Summary for next few days

Day and time Condition High(°F) Low (°F)
Tonight Mostly cloudy   35 
Saturday Mostly Sunny 52   
Saturday Night Partly Cloudy   38 
Sunday Cloudy 56  
Sunday Night   Slight Chance
Rain then
Chance Rain
  47 
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I hope everyone had a great Thanksgiving

I hope everyone had a great Thanksgiving and holiday weekend, despite the cold wet start to this week. Tuesday morning, we are looking at a low temperature of 31°F, and only reaching a high temperature of 43°F by Tuesday afternoon. It will remain cloudy all day, and will likely remain dry, however there is a slight chance for some very light rain around 3pm.

Wednesday will be dry and partly cloudy, with a morning low around 30°F. Wednesday afternoon will be a bit more comfortable as the high temperature reaches 50°F.

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Cloudy cover

I was talking to a friend yesterday that I miss the smell of rain that smells out of dry ground when it rains. Of course, we cannot find that smell here in Bowling Green because the surface is saturated all the time with water due to the continuous precipitation from time to time and there is no significant interval to dry the surface of the Earth, and thus find the characteristic smell after the rain. Maybe if we travel to semi-desert areas like Arizona or South Texas and we could find this smell. Nevertheless, we miss this smell but there are other rain features that we can see during or after precipitation that cannot be seen elsewhere. For example, fog after rain, intermittent drizzle, low cloud speed, etc.

A satellite images showing the cloud cover over the region: https://weather.cod.edu/

Follow up with my friend Mathew on this blog, this day will be mostly cloudy that were noted across the region early this morning. the weather radars are showing moderate to light rain showers moving around Warren county.  The high temperature is low 50 °F and low will be around 40 °F.  A surface cold front was roughly along the Ohio River and moving eastward-southeastward.  A cold moving to toward to us and it will approach here soon within hours and we expect the cloudy skies to continue with light to moderate rain to continue as well.

Summary

Day and time Condition High(°F) Low (°F)
Tonight Chance Rain   42 
Saturday Rain Likely
then Chance
Rain
54   
Saturday Night Mostly cloudy   31 
Sunday Mostly Sunny 50   
Sunday Night   Partly Cloudy   32 
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Wet Weather Moving In

While we are dry for now, showers have already pushed into Western KY and will continue moving eastward throughout the day. This first broken line of showers will arrive in BG in the next few hours. The majority of these showers will be light in nature and become more scattered as they approach Warren and the surrounding counties. The evening looks dry, but heavier rain showers will move in overnight. Despite the warm push of air from the south, dense cloud cover will keep us right around 60 today.

Friday will start off wet, but we should dry out for the evening hours. Models indicate that we could see rain totals of 1-1.5″ once all is said and done. Morning lows will be quite warm, only dropping into the upper 40s. They won’t move much throughout the day with highs hovering in the low 50s.

Saturday will be cool and start off rainy much like Friday, but the rain will be lighter in nature. Highs will once again hover around 50 and skies will be cloudy throughout the day.

Sunday will be the dry day over the weekend and skies will clear out early to make for a nice day. Temperatures will start off in the mid 30s and rise to the mid 50s. After the cool weekend, things will warm up closer to 60 for the first couple days next week.

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Early Travel Forecast

We are a week out from one of the biggest travel holidays of the year! Whether you are flying across the country or driving across the county, weather can have a major impact on your travel plans. Here’s a quick look at what we are expecting for KY and TN next week.

After a fairly mild day Tuesday, a cold front will be moving across the Commonwealth of KY and the TN Valley bringing with it a line of showers on Tuesday into Wednesday. Temperatures will be in the upper 40s throughout both states on Wednesday with morning lows dipping below freezing on Thursday. Thanksgiving day will be cold just like the previous day and even a little breezy at times with periods of rain. If your family is taking any photos to send with those Christmas cards, they’ll likely have to be done indoors this year. But the rain doesn’t stop on Thanksgiving Day: there’s a chance for rain each day Friday-Sunday. At least there will be a warm up expected for the weekend as temperatures jump into the 60s on Saturday.

Overall, an early look at the weather doesn’t quite look like it will be cooperating throughout most of the Holiday celebrations; however, we are still a week out, so things still have potential to change for the better. Just keep in mind that your flight planes might be changing to and from your Holiday destinations if you are flying out of or into Louisville or Nashville next week.

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