Rain Chances Return for the Weekend

Good evening folks!

Taking a look at surface observations across the contiguous US, surface high pressure is currently centered over the southeast aiding in the calm conditions we had for today. Conditions will change as a center of low pressure that currently sits over the Panhandle of Oklahoma will move into the region. Surface convergence out ahead of the system will cause rain showers to move into the Ohio River Valley during the overnight hours. Those possible rain showers will have to overcome and battle against some relatively dry air that is in place. Rainfall totals will be on the lighter side during the overnight hours.

Might need the umbrella as you head out for your Friday morning commute as the area of low pressure with a cold front extending to it’s south, inches closer to our area. The rain chances will taper off heading into the afternoon hours, with highs rebounding back into the upper 60s to low 70s.

The surface low that is now sitting over the Panhandle of Oklahoma will move out of the eastern Plains and will hover around and ride along a stationary boundary as we head into Friday night. Model guidance are in agreement with this disturbance moving into the Great Lakes region on Saturday. As the disturbance moves north, the stationary boundary that it was initially riding along will phase into a warm front and move north, allowing SW flow to kick in and pull in moisture from the Gulf. This will help juice up the atmosphere a little bit.

Later in the day on Saturday, a cold associated with the area of low pressure will push through the area. Widespread rain with embedded thunderstorms are possible during the day ahead of the cold front. The main threats will be heavy rain, some cloud to ground lightning, and some gusty winds.

The cold front will move through the area during Saturday evening and rain chances will diminish immediately after it passes. Temperatures behind the front will drop quite drastically as a strong Canadian surface high pressure settles in with cold and dry NW flow settling into the area. Temperatures Sunday morning will drop into the 30s, might need to wear a coat as you head out for Sunday morning church services.

Tonight: Isolated showers after 5am. Increasing clouds, with a low around 55. South wind 6 to 9 mph.

Friday: Scattered showers, mainly before 2pm. Cloudy, with a high near 68. Light south wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.

Friday Night: A small chance of showers, mainly after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. South wind 7 to 9 mph.

Saturday: A chance of showers, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 8am. High near 67. Southwest wind 11 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 49.

Posted in Kentucky Weather | Comments Off on Rain Chances Return for the Weekend

Warming Up for the Week

I hope everyone is enjoying this gorgeous weather. That low pressure system that brought about all that rain has pushed off the east coast and in its place, a high pressure system has come in. With a high pressure system comes sunny, mild weather which will stick around for a few days.

A satellite view from before dawn this morning until this afternoon shows those clouds from yesterday being pushed out for today’s clear skies.

Our biggest chance for a new system comes Friday. More on that will come tomorrow. For the next three days though, enjoy the warm and sunny weather. Especially enjoy Thursday as temperatures could hit in the low 70s!

  • SUMMARY:
    • Tuesday:
      • High: 55
      • Low: 31
    • Wednesday:
      • High: 63
      • Low: 54
    • Thursday:
      • High: 71
      • Low: 48

Have a fun, safe week!

Posted in Kentucky Weather | Comments Off on Warming Up for the Week

Wet Start but Spring to Take Hold

Last night a low pressure system moved through our region bringing with it the rain that occurred into early this morning. As for the rest of the day, expect mostly cloudy skies with a chance of some remnant showers extending down from our north. As seen below from RadarScope, the only showers are isolated to our south just east of Nashville.

RadarScope Super-Res Reflectivity

As for what we can expect the rest of the week, a high pressure system is making its way to the south and east eventually settling in the Great Lakes region. This will allow us some Spring time weather of sunny skies and “warm” temperatures. You can expect clouds to begin decreasing this afternoon and overnight leaving behind mostly sunny skies Tuesday. Temperatures will be a bit cooler Tuesday, as we have had the passage of a cold front. Luckily, temperatures will feel very pleasant by the end of the week with high’s to be in the 70’s Thursday and Friday.

NAM 12km Model 12z Run (Tropical Tidbits)

FORECAST

Today (3/25): Mostly cloudy with a chance of some remnant scattered showers
High: 61
Low: 33
Tonight: Cloudy early with clouds decreasing overnight

Tuesday (3/26): Cooler but mostly sunny skies
High: 56
Low: 31
Tuesday Night: Clear and chilly

Posted in Kentucky Weather | Comments Off on Wet Start but Spring to Take Hold

Some Rain to End the Weekend

14Z Surface Observations (Source: College of DuPage)

It may be clear now, but in the afternoon, a weak mid-latitude system will pass through Kentucky, bringing more rain for the mid-South. Highs for Bowling Green today will be in the lower 60’s, and lows will be in the lower 50’s.

12Z RAP Simulated Reflectivity (Source: College of DuPage)

Monday will see similar conditions to Sunday; however, there is a much higher chance for thunderstorms compared to Sunday. Highs will be in the upper 50’s, and lows will be in the upper 40’s. Monday afternoon will be more calmer as the storms will make a pass in the morning. Tuesday will be clearer, with highs in the upper 50’s and lows in the lower 30’s.

Forecast:

Sunday: 80% chance for rain in the afternoon, High: 60, Low: 50

Monday: Morning rain and thunderstorms, High: 57, Low: 49

Tuesday: Sunny, High: 59, Low: 33

Posted in Kentucky Weather | Comments Off on Some Rain to End the Weekend

Student Research Conference; Also, Happy World Meteorological Day

Surface Observations (Source: College of DuPage)

Today marks our 49th Annual Student Research Conference, the 69th Anniversary of the World Meteorlogical Organization, and marks a wonderful sunny day. High pressure all across Kentucky will ensure sunny skies and calm winds for our Saturday. Highs for today will reach the upper 50’s, and lows in the upper 30’s.

Unfortunately, as soon as Sunday begins, the sunshine will start to end. Rain will start to head down Sunday afternoon. There can possibly be thunderstorms, but the chance for them to become severe are low. Highs for Sunday will be in the lower 60’s, and lows in the lower 40’s. Monday will see some similar chances for rain and storms, with highs in the upper 50’s and lows in the upper 40’s.

12Z GFS SLP and Precipitation (Source: College of DuPage)

I’d like to cheer on those who are participating in the Student Research Conference and hope they do well!

Forecast:

Saturday: Sunny; High: 57, Low: 34

Sunday: 60% chance for rain and thunderstorms in the afternoon; High: 63, Low: 44

Monday: 50% chance for rain and thunderstorms; High: 56, Low: 49

Posted in Kentucky Weather | Tagged | Comments Off on Student Research Conference; Also, Happy World Meteorological Day

Shaping Up to be an Awesome Weekend!

Currently, there is an upper-level low circulating off to the north of the Commonwealth bringing in the cloudier skies. This feature will move out of the Ohio Valley and move into the Mid-Atlantic later on this evening. Skies will begin to clear out of the area later on tonight, the clear skies that we will be experiencing will help the temperatures drop to around the freezing mark.

Figure 1: 2m Temperature, NAM 12Z FRI MARCH 22

High pressure begins to settle in heading into your Friday, with most of the area experiencing nothing but sunshine, with the exception of a few stray afternoon clouds. Highs around the area on Friday will rise into the upper 50s. Heading into Friday night, the ridge aloft will strength and settle over the Ohio Valley, this will result in clear skies during the night time hours. Again, the clear skies during the night time hours will aid in temperature dropping below zero, with temperatures early Saturday morning struggling to get above the 30 degree mark.

Figure 2: Avg. Total Cloud Cover, NAM 12Z SAT MARCH 23

Saturday looks spectacular with sunny skies and highs around the area rising into the upper 50s. Another storm system will begin to push into the area heading into Sunday. The rain chances will increase throughout the day on Sunday and heading into Sunday night/Monday morning.

Tonight: Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming clear, with a low around 35. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable.

Friday: Sunny, with a high near 58. West wind 7 to 13 mph becoming northwest in the afternoon.

Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 57. Northeast wind 3 to 5 mph.

Sunday: Rain chances increasing throughout the day, especially after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 62.

Posted in Kentucky Weather | Comments Off on Shaping Up to be an Awesome Weekend!

Warm But Wet Midweek

Thankfully we have a nice high pressure system on top of us right now allowing for some mild, sunny weather. Hopefully everyone was able to step outside for a little bit. We’ve been having some especially beautiful sunsets lately as well. You should definitely consider putting on a light jacket to check it out.

Satellite imagery is showing high clouds over the area. Unfortunately as we move through the night a low pressure system with some rain attached will push through lasting through Thursday. I don’t think that the actual rain will hit us until night if not waiting until early Thursday.

This increase in clouds could prevent us from getting a good view of the Full Worm Moon that will help finish off the first day of spring.

Believe it or not there is good news attached to all of this. Temperatures will be warm and will stay fairly warm. Of course there could still be outlier days but the overall temperatures are on the up.

  • SUMMARY:
    • Tuesday:
      • High: 56
      • Low: 35
    • Wednesday:
      • High: 62
      • Low: 41
    • Thursday:
      • High: 54
      • Low: 36
      • Get those umbrellas and rain boots out! It will be a rainy day.

Stay safe and have a good week!

Posted in Kentucky Weather | Comments Off on Warm But Wet Midweek

Staying High and Dry

With a cold front moving through our region yesterday, we are feeling cooler temperatures to start off our work week. Luckily, lots of sun will continue as a high pressure system has made its way into the Ohio Valley. This high pressure system will allow us to continue staying “high and dry” for the next few days until a slight chance of some showers come mid week. These showers are due to a low north of the Great Lakes that could tail in a chance of some light scattered showers Thursday.

Today and most of the day tomorrow will contain lots of sun before clouds build tomorrow afternoon. Other than the slight chance of showers mid week, we will remain mostly dry with sunny skies until the later part of the weekend when the potential of our next weather maker returns. The temperatures will also increase as we move through the week, giving us a shot at temperatures in the mid to upper 60’s by this weekend.

NAM 6Z Cloud Cover

FORECAST

Today (3/18): Mostly sunny and cooler
High: 53
Low: 31
Tonight: Mostly clear

Tuesday (3/19): Mostly sunny and mild with clouds increasing in the afternoon
High: 55
Low: 33
Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy

Posted in Kentucky Weather | Comments Off on Staying High and Dry

More Sun to end your Weekend

The sunshine will continue for our Sunday despite the weak mid-latitude system up in Indiana. Nevertheless, the cold front that will pass today, will make tomorrow a bit cooler.

SFC Observations (Source: College of DuPage)

Highs for Sunday will still be in the mid-upper 50’s and lows will still be in the lower 30’s. Monday will be a bit chillier as mentioned before, with highs in the lower 50’s, and lows in the lower 30’s. Tuesday will see an end for pure sunshine as the cloudiness will increase as the day progresses. Highs for Tuesday will be the mid 50’s, and lows will be in the mid-upper 30’s.

6Z GFS Cloud Cover (Source: College of DuPage)

Forecast:

Sunday: Sunshine, High: 56, Low: 33

Monday: Sunshine, High: 54, Low: 32

Tuesday: Increasing cloudiness in the afternoon; High, 56, Low: 36

Posted in Kentucky Weather | Comments Off on More Sun to end your Weekend

Sunshine for Saturday and Sunday?

While the conditions for our Saturday are starting to reflect a spring-like atmosphere, the temperatures are not. We are currently having temperatures in the thirties.

Surface Observations (Source: College of DuPage)

With a high pressure field centered over in Oklahoma, the next few days will be more uneventful compared to Thursday. Today will be quite sunny,with highs in the mid-upper 50’s, and lows in the lower 30’s. Sunday could see minimal clouds, with highs in the mid-upper 50’s, and lows in the lower 30’s. Monday will be sunny, with highs in the mid-upper 50’s, and lows in the lower 30’s.

Forecast

Saturday: Sunny, High: 57, Low:34

Sunday: Fair, High: 56, Low: 33

Monday: Sunny, High: 55, Low: 32

Posted in Kentucky Weather | Comments Off on Sunshine for Saturday and Sunday?